(anonymous) 0x45cd72…a733d4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
591
Trades
4,728
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$55
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-05 15:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
50% 54% +$55
Other
36% 53% -$66
Sports
7% 48% -$9
Tech
4% 50% -$7
Crypto
2% 44% -$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$1 04-30 05:34
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +10 $7 95¢ $10 +$2 05-22 20:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 88¢ $9 +$7 06-23 16:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -10 -$6 86¢ $-9 -$3 04-28 15:58
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 06-29 11:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +22 $8 20¢ $4 -$4 06-22 21:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$3 13¢ $-3 +$1 05-19 18:59
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +14 $6 16¢ $2 -$4 07-04 00:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -62 -$4 3¢ $-2 +$2 05-07 16:10
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-05 15:32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-28 15:25
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -25 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$2 05-19 18:59
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -17 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-15 14:48