Definite-Semester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-10 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-1

Sports

19% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.6K	786	786	+0	No	$-1	04-16 06:49
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.2K	624	624	+0	open	—	04-19 17:08
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$674	338	338	+0	open	—	04-01 13:35
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$662	332	332	+0	open	—	05-10 17:16
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$634	318	318	+0	open	—	04-21 00:35
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	04-10 10:32
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$608	305	305	+0	open	—	03-21 07:13
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$582	292	292	+0	open	—	03-23 03:39
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$550	275	275	+0	open	—	03-22 22:31
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$548	274	274	+0	open	—	04-27 15:30
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$522	262	262	+0	open	—	03-26 21:58
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$518	260	260	+0	No	$-0	03-26 11:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	03-27 13:20
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$504	253	252	+0	open	—	03-31 06:23
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$500	251	250	+0	open	—	03-22 07:02
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$486	244	244	+0	open	—	03-22 17:23
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$446	223	223	+0	open	—	03-29 21:44
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$436	218	218	+0	open	—	03-27 03:06
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$414	208	208	+0	No	$-0	04-01 05:09
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-02 06:34
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-28 09:25
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 21:43
nba was bos 2026 03 14	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	03-14 14:11
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	1	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	03-04 17:43
nba mia cle 2026 03 27	1	$28	43	0	+43	open	—	03-27 19:35
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	1	$23	38	0	+38	open	—	03-04 17:44
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	1	$22	41	0	+41	open	—	03-31 23:13
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 23:52
nba phi atl 2026 03 07	1	$21	30	0	+30	open	—	03-07 19:41
nba sas mia 2026 03 23	1	$16	39	0	+39	open	—	03-23 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:16:01	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	332	100¢	$331	0x7f4dd1…
05-10 07:04:13	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$331	0xdb4c89…
04-28 21:43:18	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x545965…
04-27 15:30:54	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0x7c0055…
04-27 09:20:54	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xd38c8d…
04-21 00:35:48	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0xf378fc…
04-20 17:03:24	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x73c3ca…
04-19 17:08:42	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0xd0cdab…
04-19 14:47:32	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x97033b…
04-16 06:49:08	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x4d5a12…
04-16 01:45:38	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x20ace9…
04-10 10:32:47	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x534853…
04-08 19:33:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x9aaa70…
04-05 19:16:07	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$318	0x645c21…
04-05 15:21:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$318	0x4e11cd…
04-01 22:21:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$276	0x44d831…
04-01 17:40:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x613ecb…
04-01 13:35:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0xec28bf…
04-01 09:25:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x84bc96…
04-01 05:09:57	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x44cca0…
04-01 01:04:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x444ffe…
03-31 23:14:01	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Trail Blazers	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x78e720…
03-31 23:13:33	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Raptors	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x21b9cc…
03-31 23:13:05	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Lakers	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xa97354…
03-31 06:23:31	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x74a089…
03-31 02:05:59	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x91bc3c…
03-30 23:52:49	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Wizards	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x3bd1d0…
03-30 23:52:21	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x36c77f…
03-30 23:51:47	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Jazz	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x8a260e…
03-29 21:44:34	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x6a3829…
03-29 17:35:14	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xec6c01…
03-29 17:34:54	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0xb91c2d…
03-29 13:33:10	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xfea40d…
03-28 09:25:41	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x0a6590…
03-28 03:48:55	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x003de9…
03-27 19:35:07	nba mia cle 2026 03 27	Cavaliers	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xd3fbf4…
03-27 13:20:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0xf92e16…
03-27 08:12:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x8011c5…
03-27 03:06:17	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x1b2420…
03-26 21:58:21	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x1dbb8e…
03-26 21:58:05	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0xe671d1…
03-26 16:45:11	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0x629fb9…
03-26 11:31:51	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$259	0xb315ef…
03-26 06:06:45	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x30f4d9…
03-23 21:25:41	nba sas mia 2026 03 23	Heat	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x62024d…
03-23 03:39:51	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xc9df24…
03-22 22:32:09	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0x26dcd3…
03-22 22:31:53	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0xa90b34…
03-22 17:23:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x7b487b…
03-22 17:23:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0xbcc2f2…
03-22 12:16:31	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x7e30d9…
03-22 07:02:29	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xcebf52…
03-22 01:59:11	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x84c430…
03-21 07:13:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0x3f965b…
03-20 11:46:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xb4604b…
03-14 14:11:39	nba was bos 2026 03 14	Celtics	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x783080…
03-07 19:41:05	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x4ed159…
03-04 17:44:23	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xb7d7dc…
03-04 17:43:55	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0xfcfec3…
03-02 06:34:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x2db2f8…
02-28 10:06:13	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x85a983…
02-26 09:32:00	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x069eab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	27	$634.3K	27,494	04-21 23:39
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	25	$90.7K	626	04-01 05:08
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	24	$2.68K	4,028	04-22 10:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	23	$24.1K	360	04-27 22:40
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	20	$25.8K	397	05-14 19:55
Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603	19	$1.58K	176	04-01 05:16
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	18	$427.3K	29,124	04-08 17:50
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	18	$220.5K	4,682	04-24 14:30