Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$188
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
488
lifetime
Volume
$28.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$2.20K
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-14 21:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85%
Other
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,291 $1,067 86¢ $1.1K +$38 06-10 20:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +668 $508 99¢ $664 +$155 06-04 22:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +377 $338 78¢ $296 $-42 06-10 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -70 $-105 70¢ $-49 +$56 06-13 14:31
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -27 $-18 90¢ $-24 $-6 06-04 22:50
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-12 88¢ $-21 $-8 06-04 22:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -21 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-0 06-04 22:52
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -19 $-12 97¢ $-18 $-5 06-04 22:56