Joyous-Consequence 0x4b4806…5335d0
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$442
Unrealized P&L
-$174
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
240
Trades
928
lifetime
Volume
$15.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$980
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Politics
47% 74% +$309
Other
41% 66% +$107
Sports
11% 79% +$19
Tech
1% 67% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -120 -$121 100¢ $-120 +$2 09-06 13:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +80 $50 93¢ $74 +$24 10-09 22:24
New pandemic in 2026? No -60 -$54 97¢ $-58 -$4 05-22 13:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No -60 -$55 96¢ $-58 -$3 06-11 10:30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -56 -$54 96¢ $-54 $0 08-15 22:06
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -60 -$56 86¢ $-52 +$4 09-21 17:27
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-48 -$2 06-25 18:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$45 96¢ $-48 -$3 05-28 19:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +200 $58 22¢ $45 -$13 09-28 21:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $43 85¢ $43 +$0 10-27 13:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -50 -$33 85¢ $-42 -$10 05-16 07:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -40 -$37 98¢ $-39 -$2 05-19 16:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$32 84¢ $-34 -$2 05-07 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +30 $24 100¢ $30 +$6 10-16 18:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$30 98¢ $-29 +$1 09-17 15:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +30 $26 92¢ $28 +$2 10-09 21:36
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +30 $23 84¢ $25 +$2 08-18 03:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $23 77¢ $23 +$0 10-24 09:35
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +30 $23 72¢ $21 -$1 09-17 22:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 06-08 16:44
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +20 $16 92¢ $18 +$2 07-18 07:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +120 $59 14¢ $16 -$43 09-21 14:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -20 -$13 80¢ $-16 -$3 07-08 17:26
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +150 $54 8¢ $12 -$42 08-25 13:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $19 32¢ $10 -$9 09-07 07:08
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +63 $18 15¢ $9 -$9 10-12 21:22
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +40 $10 10¢ $4 -$6 09-06 08:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +100 $5 2¢ $2 -$4 09-24 13:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $33 2¢ $1 -$32 10-13 18:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $33 2¢ $1 -$32 10-15 01:16