Joyous-Consequence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$7.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% $-125

Other

42% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	15	$484	362	201	+161	open	—	08-06 21:21
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	17	$321	550	360	+190	open	—	07-21 14:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	14	$201	150	90	+60	open	—	08-07 13:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$196	110	110	+0	open	—	05-03 21:49
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	18	$187	131	121	+10	open	—	03-16 19:00
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	8	$182	193	193	+0	open	—	08-06 16:38
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	9	$121	40	86	-46	open	—	01-31 15:47
andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	2	$121	70	70	+0	open	—	08-01 03:58
2026 valero texas open winner robert macintyre win	7	$112	150	0	+150	open	—	04-03 14:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	03-29 05:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	07-26 00:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	05-23 20:34
chinese or russian athlete kicked out of 2026 winter games for doping	6	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	02-20 17:07
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	7	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 07:16
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	2	$92	120	120	+0	open	—	07-20 11:39
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	10	$92	70	68	+1	open	—	03-07 07:14
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	3	$89	53	53	+0	open	—	03-15 11:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	02-03 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$87	70	70	+0	open	—	06-28 14:37
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 skeleton mens vladyslav heraskevych ukr	2	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	02-13 17:00
nothing ever happens us strike edition	6	$77	88	88	+0	open	—	01-28 07:02
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	01-18 07:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$75	120	120	+0	open	—	05-23 09:53
ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	7	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	03-06 08:26
NATO article 5 before 2027?	3	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	07-02 11:57
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	02-11 16:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	5	$68	39	39	+0	open	—	04-07 23:03
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	3	$66	81	0	+81	open	—	07-26 22:07
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	2	$65	0	69	-69	open	—	01-29 19:25
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	14	$64	141	141	+0	open	—	02-02 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:07:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0x082d4e…
08-11 18:07:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xe8f0d3…
08-11 18:07:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xb3d961…
08-11 18:07:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x77ff0a…
08-11 18:07:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x28140b…
08-10 15:04:06	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7a6390…
08-10 09:31:52	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc95262…
08-08 22:51:40	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xd9e15d…
08-08 21:21:21	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd0c753…
08-07 13:24:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x7a735f…
08-07 09:36:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x47472a…
08-06 21:21:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x6fc920…
08-06 16:38:59	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	115	31¢	$36	0x2bf394…
08-06 06:53:03	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x57df8b…
08-05 22:24:59	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	115	25¢	$29	0x924dd5…
08-05 22:23:20	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	78	75¢	$59	0xe05df3…
08-05 08:51:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x80df24…
08-05 00:51:15	trump calls nicki minaj hot again in 2026 20260708230616939	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xc92a41…
08-04 19:37:53	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x9255ed…
08-04 08:24:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x8da61b…
08-03 18:12:57	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe0d415…
08-03 13:21:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xffc16a…
08-03 10:40:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xefcd2a…
08-03 06:56:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd7b15d…
08-03 06:45:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x5d5a69…
08-02 18:28:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x3cb20d…
08-02 14:11:36	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by august 31 2026 20260726221135933	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0c43c8…
08-02 07:15:27	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x147591…
08-02 07:15:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x6b9fbe…
08-02 07:15:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ad114…
08-02 07:15:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x9b27c1…
08-01 23:35:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x06f9cc…
08-01 18:26:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x0df829…
08-01 18:23:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x7f994f…
08-01 15:57:39	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfbfc78…
08-01 15:12:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x3d41a5…
08-01 14:55:50	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd2d684…
08-01 14:27:12	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x25ca6b…
08-01 08:36:51	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb042b4…
08-01 03:58:45	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x85c4a5…
07-30 21:42:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6459aa…
07-29 22:45:00	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9f5da7…
07-29 21:37:05	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6ef60f…
07-29 12:32:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xcf2f3c…
07-29 11:12:39	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf3c42f…
07-29 09:31:20	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by august 31 2026 20260726221135933	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xac9fa0…
07-27 22:53:19	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0114ab…
07-27 18:37:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb86d69…
07-26 22:07:40	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x4e969a…
07-26 22:07:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xa2ccc2…
07-26 22:06:37	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	31	83¢	$25	0x36fc2d…
07-26 07:52:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x3fc4f0…
07-26 00:26:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0xf1d0e2…
07-24 07:53:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x2c0fde…
07-21 14:20:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xfa18b7…
07-21 14:15:39	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xb54e67…
07-21 14:14:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xa442b7…
07-20 13:51:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x90e01b…
07-20 13:48:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	67	25¢	$17	0xfd089c…
07-20 13:42:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	76	18¢	$14	0x6fee89…
07-20 13:42:22	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xef43b9…
07-20 13:00:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xed1842…
07-20 12:59:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x4ee3ca…
07-20 11:39:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0xe40678…
07-20 11:28:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xade37b…
07-20 11:27:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa53814…
07-19 21:15:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x4898aa…
07-19 20:02:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xd96eb0…
07-19 15:32:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6ad4f1…
07-19 14:01:28	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4d3148…
07-19 14:01:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xc41f44…
07-18 23:48:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0x307f30…
07-18 13:25:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0x8e1eb7…
07-18 12:27:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	63	40¢	$25	0x0b4b98…
07-18 12:26:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x5a6262…
07-18 11:09:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x941f92…
07-18 11:07:13	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x869a50…
07-18 07:36:07	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x8ccc86…
07-17 14:55:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x345802…
07-17 14:53:31	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xb9755c…
07-16 12:12:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xecef76…
07-16 09:08:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xcab39b…
07-15 02:25:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xac5b06…
07-13 20:29:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0fec73…
07-13 20:28:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5d0c43…
07-13 20:27:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6e319f…
07-13 13:08:28	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x41b819…
07-11 17:53:20	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4e8e21…
07-10 18:46:49	moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260708134955088	No	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xfc217e…
07-09 07:49:04	trump calls nicki minaj hot again in 2026 20260708230616939	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf2e4a0…
07-08 17:26:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x077857…
07-08 14:29:08	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x68e04a…
07-08 14:03:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xdfb28c…
07-08 07:27:29	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3b4f29…
07-07 07:52:11	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x48e6d5…
07-06 22:20:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x6fd5bd…
07-06 22:06:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x48b6f5…
07-06 21:49:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x52d2d1…
07-06 21:26:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xce2ee3…
07-06 21:21:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x73cc17…