Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
6.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
512
lifetime
Volume
$6.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$315
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 13:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-125
Other
42%
Sports
9% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -60 $-55 92¢ $-56 $-1 06-11 10:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +70 $48 74¢ $51 +$3 07-18 23:48
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-46 95¢ $-48 $-1 06-25 18:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-45 94¢ $-47 $-2 05-28 19:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +50 $37 84¢ $42 +$5 07-19 20:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 06-28 07:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 06-08 16:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -20 $-13 62¢ $-12 +$0 07-08 17:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 07-15 02:25
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 07-08 14:29
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +6 $-0 90¢ $6 +$6 07-07 07:52