Cautious-Epic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

176

Trades

1,046

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-14 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 98% $-29

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	05-14 03:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	14	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	05-16 06:23
btc updown 5m 1775445300	3	$107	58	58	+1	open	—	04-06 03:19
btc updown 15m 1775491200	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-06 16:14
btc updown 5m 1775616600	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-08 02:55
btc updown 5m 1775488200	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-06 15:15
btc updown 5m 1775440800	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-06 02:04
btc updown 5m 1775438400	9	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	04-06 01:24
btc updown 5m 1775240100	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-03 18:19
btc updown 5m 1775661000	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-08 15:13
btc updown 5m 1775449800	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-06 04:34
btc updown 5m 1775617200	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-08 03:04
btc updown 5m 1775612400	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-08 01:44
btc updown 5m 1775607000	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	04-08 00:14
btc updown 5m 1775529300	2	$103	54	53	+0	open	—	04-07 02:38
btc updown 5m 1775439000	2	$103	54	53	+0	open	—	04-06 01:33
btc updown 5m 1775604000	2	$103	54	53	+0	open	—	04-07 23:23
btc updown 5m 1775623800	2	$103	54	53	+0	open	—	04-08 04:54
btc updown 5m 1775339400	5	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-04 21:54
btc updown 15m 1775444400	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-06 03:14
btc updown 5m 1775406600	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-05 16:34
btc updown 5m 1775291400	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-04 08:34
btc updown 5m 1775586600	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-07 18:34
btc updown 15m 1775660400	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-08 15:13
btc updown 5m 1775607600	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-08 00:24
btc updown 5m 1775446800	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-06 03:44
btc updown 5m 1775589300	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-07 19:19
btc updown 5m 1775603700	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-07 23:19
btc updown 5m 1775659800	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-08 14:53
btc updown 5m 1775602200	2	$102	53	52	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 09:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781429400	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4cd132…
05-16 09:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x7ef538…
05-16 09:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x15c85f…
05-16 09:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$9	0x8eeb0c…
05-16 08:48:58	doge updown 5m 1778921100	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x197485…
05-16 08:48:51	doge updown 5m 1778921100	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x778b02…
05-16 07:59:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b10d3…
05-16 07:59:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08d3db…
05-16 07:54:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x283e27…
05-16 07:49:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcd4787…
05-16 07:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x802abb…
05-16 07:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5ada00…
05-16 07:39:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x437f72…
05-16 07:39:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2d60f4…
05-16 07:08:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf53fd2…
05-16 06:53:33	doge updown 5m 1778914200	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x17778a…
05-16 06:39:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0992e9…
05-16 06:34:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5bad8c…
05-16 06:33:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc53afe…
05-16 06:29:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x70f3ce…
05-16 06:29:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3acb24…
05-16 06:23:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38a27a…
05-16 06:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8959cc…
05-16 06:09:09	doge updown 5m 1778911500	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4db160…
05-16 05:59:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc40ebb…
05-16 05:58:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd757fc…
05-16 05:54:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdad85e…
05-16 05:54:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe1f277…
05-16 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xfe9d32…
05-16 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	44¢	$53	0x2601a6…
05-16 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xc1e6c1…
05-16 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x290a08…
05-16 05:28:47	doge updown 5m 1778909100	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x82459a…
05-16 05:23:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9baaab…
05-16 05:19:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xd08632…
05-16 05:18:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x5a0d8e…
05-16 04:28:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x927d49…
05-16 04:28:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbdde7b…
05-16 04:05:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x47b023…
05-16 04:04:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb014a8…
05-16 03:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xc1965e…
05-16 03:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x94bb16…
05-16 03:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x89485a…
05-16 03:13:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45c81f…
05-16 03:04:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7756ff…
05-16 03:04:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x77459c…
05-16 02:23:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2ee4f4…
05-16 02:23:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfe1fe8…
05-16 02:19:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2f3ee6…
05-16 02:19:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x29dcbb…
05-16 02:04:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d2e0a…
05-16 02:04:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8965cf…
05-16 01:59:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96140f…
05-16 01:34:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe892e2…
05-16 01:28:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb9777a…
05-16 01:28:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x33bc04…
05-16 01:19:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa5d1c9…
05-16 01:14:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x020647…
05-16 01:14:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xaf5e7d…
05-16 00:39:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbec945…
05-16 00:19:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5bfe83…
05-16 00:03:33	doge updown 5m 1778889600	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6c9454…
05-15 23:34:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1b3ad8…
05-15 23:33:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8bf885…
05-15 23:29:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x93ed9e…
05-15 23:29:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x675449…
05-15 23:16:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8b0ed3…
05-15 23:16:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910fda…
05-15 22:48:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ee832…
05-15 22:28:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb8dd4e…
05-15 22:08:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x257ca1…
05-15 21:58:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x36e14f…
05-15 21:04:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x9479ad…
05-15 21:04:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xbaebad…
05-15 21:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xebe4b9…
05-15 21:02:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf9148c…
05-15 20:54:28	doge updown 5m 1778878200	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa2a26e…
05-15 20:13:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x172b8a…
05-15 19:03:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe22a7d…
05-15 18:39:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5a0b7d…
05-15 18:16:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd61ab9…
05-15 18:15:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728ed2…
05-15 18:12:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdfee91…
05-15 17:59:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcfb2ad…
05-15 17:44:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfc3243…
05-15 17:43:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4b3f60…
05-15 17:39:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6445b9…
05-15 17:39:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0bc3da…
05-15 17:39:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0dd72…
05-15 17:39:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xadec9d…
05-15 17:39:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x36c229…
05-15 17:38:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfa3a13…
05-15 17:37:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8b164d…
05-15 17:37:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x23f324…
05-15 17:08:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9a366d…
05-15 16:20:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x138182…
05-15 16:18:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf928d5…
05-15 16:14:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa8db17…
05-15 16:13:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1b3884…
05-15 16:09:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9ccf2e…