Realized P&L (90d)
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
131
10,081 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$314
$18.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$146
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-30 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 46% -$283
Sports
2% 47% +$5
Other
2% 44% +$13
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +155 $36 48¢ $74 +$38 10-30 00:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +183 $43 28¢ $50 +$8 10-30 02:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $20 18¢ $18 -$2 09-23 14:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 8¢ $2 -$1 09-23 14:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-23 14:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $0 08-26 09:22
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-29 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? Yes +11 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 19:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +7 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-02 19:05