Realized P&L
-$268
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
3,838
Trades
10,094
lifetime
Volume
$18.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$94
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-30 02:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 46% -$286
Sports
2% 47% +$5
Other
2% 44% +$13
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +155 $36 30¢ $46 +$10 10-30 00:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +183 $43 18¢ $32 -$10 10-30 02:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $20 12¢ $13 -$7 09-23 14:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 09-23 14:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-23 14:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 08-26 09:22
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-29 20:17