Criminal-Philanthropy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-26 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

22% 33% $-0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Politics

10% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes		-5	$-0	3¢	$-0	+$0	06-25 09:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772648100	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-04 18:15
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	51	51	+0	open	—	06-21 04:30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	3	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 09:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 19:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	06-25 14:22
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 07:45
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 13:13
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 14:25
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 22:54
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1	15	20	-5	No	+$0	04-19 10:56
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$1	10	10	+0	No	$-0	04-26 02:51
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 17:09
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$0	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-22 11:37
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 08:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 07:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$0	11	5	+6	open	—	04-21 16:51
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	06-25 12:33
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 21:58
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 03:41
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 17:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 03:42
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	06-25 09:46
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 11:38
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-19 03:58
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	04-20 16:39
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	06-22 07:48
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 14:35
Will Everton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 14:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$0	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 15:56
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$0	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 17:09:25	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x66f473…
06-26 14:25:22	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3dec30…
06-26 06:51:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xeeadbc…
06-26 00:38:29	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xaff378…
06-25 19:29:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xe27025…
06-25 16:48:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x507803…
06-25 15:28:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfcbf5e…
06-25 14:22:56	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7c2703…
06-25 12:36:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf51f50…
06-25 12:33:29	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x679bec…
06-25 12:03:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x698b4b…
06-25 09:46:37	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd1cf29…
06-25 09:46:37	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xb10d83…
06-25 07:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5383f8…
06-25 00:31:05	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7ae509…
06-23 22:54:53	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb53279…
06-23 21:58:22	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8b0da1…
06-23 21:42:11	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x459dac…
06-23 20:17:28	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x621b13…
06-22 07:48:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8dd448…
06-22 07:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x980f6e…
06-21 04:30:56	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xf4504c…
06-18 13:15:34	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x8517d7…
04-26 02:51:12	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1d32a2…
04-26 02:35:22	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd6ab78…
04-22 13:13:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4bcbfb…
04-22 12:01:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x98d0e7…
04-22 11:39:04	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xbf3f5a…
04-22 11:38:42	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd28d32…
04-22 11:37:58	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x8a9256…
04-22 05:25:44	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x663583…
04-22 04:55:34	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9b0adb…
04-22 04:50:10	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa8ce3f…
04-22 03:42:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xcbb3e2…
04-22 03:41:38	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5c22b0…
04-21 18:36:22	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf4c040…
04-21 17:59:42	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x98893d…
04-21 17:54:54	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x08430b…
04-21 17:05:28	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6e6078…
04-21 16:51:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd201e0…
04-21 15:56:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd92757…
04-21 14:35:32	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb13f67…
04-21 14:34:58	Will Everton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x10a242…
04-21 11:56:46	Will Everton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x87680e…
04-21 11:56:32	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x96384a…
04-21 11:56:06	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3eb75f…
04-21 08:15:32	Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdc84f2…
04-21 07:44:40	Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe23fe9…
04-20 16:39:58	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe8f834…
04-20 16:26:40	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x49e429…
04-19 10:56:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6cb6be…
04-19 10:51:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x205bf0…
04-19 10:40:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe40507…
04-19 10:35:36	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x988c51…
04-19 09:59:56	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x378e75…
04-19 08:50:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4cb572…
04-19 08:50:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x415e1a…
04-19 08:07:54	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6bc643…
04-19 08:02:16	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3aca83…
04-19 08:00:18	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x792e80…
04-19 07:45:48	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa93b44…
04-19 07:44:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x449dc6…
04-19 07:39:42	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7d6e7a…
04-19 07:37:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1ea26f…
04-19 07:37:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x598446…
04-19 03:58:08	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x99e1e3…
04-19 03:43:00	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf83c7…
04-19 03:11:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x576fc9…
04-19 02:54:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa88e96…
04-13 07:23:17	btc updown 5m 1776064800	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3ea8db…
03-04 18:15:07	btc updown 15m 1772648100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb5d56c…