Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
338
Trades
1,064
lifetime
Volume
$6.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$191
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 11-06 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
57% 66% +$20
Politics
37% 84% +$14
Sports
3% 74% +$2
Crypto
2% 86% +$3
Tech
1% 67% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -30 -$10 78¢ $-24 -$13 04-29 17:05
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +20 $15 90¢ $18 +$3 07-16 03:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +19 $13 89¢ $17 +$4 07-22 22:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -15 -$9 99¢ $-15 -$6 05-10 01:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +15 $10 96¢ $14 +$4 07-16 13:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -15 -$9 91¢ $-14 -$4 05-01 10:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 -$13 90¢ $-13 -$1 05-23 18:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -12 -$13 97¢ $-12 +$1 07-06 06:28
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No -13 -$10 89¢ $-12 -$1 05-05 09:56
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 05-04 17:14
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$1 05-01 04:11
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$2 05-03 02:25
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$1 04-29 01:44
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 10-30 23:46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 09-07 21:50