Honorable-Road — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$616

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

678

lifetime

Volume

$89.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-06 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$616

Other

32% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	28	$10.8K	5,848	5,848	+0	open	—	05-06 11:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	69	$9.7K	5,061	5,061	+0	No	+$180	05-04 09:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	17	$8.7K	4,739	4,739	+0	open	—	05-06 11:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	35	$6.9K	4,364	4,364	+0	open	—	05-06 11:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$6.5K	4,110	4,110	+0	open	—	05-06 11:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$6.3K	3,548	3,548	+0	No	+$427	05-06 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	22	$5.5K	3,538	3,538	+0	open	—	05-06 11:06
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$3.4K	3,341	3,341	+0	open	—	02-26 10:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$3.1K	1,652	1,652	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 23:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$3.1K	1,560	1,559	+1	open	—	04-30 01:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.6K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	05-03 21:49
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	19	$2.1K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	05-06 00:35
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$1.7K	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	02-25 16:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-06 00:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$1.1K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	05-01 00:52
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	2	$860	585	585	+0	open	—	02-24 21:56
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	11	$751	559	559	+0	open	—	02-25 18:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	9	$710	401	401	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 09:21
Iran leadership change by May 31?	6	$697	373	373	+0	open	—	05-06 10:29
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	6	$669	400	400	+0	open	—	02-22 09:32
dota2 aur1 xtreme 2026 02 26	1	$600	909	0	+909	open	—	02-26 16:41
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$384	400	400	+0	open	—	02-22 21:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 10:29
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 08:58
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	4	$365	200	200	+0	open	—	02-23 05:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$345	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 10:30
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	02-23 00:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	11	$199	101	101	-0	No	+$1	05-06 10:29
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	5	$194	101	101	+0	open	—	05-05 23:42
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	3	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 11:22:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf99414…
05-06 11:21:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	3,199	97¢	$3,100	0x1a23e2…
05-06 11:15:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	844	69¢	$582	0xdc0792…
05-06 11:14:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	752	69¢	$519	0xb6adb3…
05-06 11:07:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0x783209…
05-06 11:07:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,940	81¢	$1,579	0x710966…
05-06 11:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	802	61¢	$489	0x262484…
05-06 11:06:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	800	84¢	$672	0xd1767b…
05-06 10:30:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x631bc2…
05-06 10:29:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x8e2ab5…
05-06 10:29:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x264a50…
05-06 10:29:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbe8b04…
05-06 10:15:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x59e5f9…
05-06 09:41:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbdf2d1…
05-06 09:40:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x334188…
05-06 09:38:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x5955fd…
05-06 09:21:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc2d0f0…
05-06 08:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	401	78¢	$313	0x12d7da…
05-06 08:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x2bf647…
05-06 08:28:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x919a95…
05-06 06:01:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xe14656…
05-06 03:41:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe4f11c…
05-06 03:19:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0aa4d…
05-06 03:19:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f61ce…
05-06 03:19:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf84d4c…
05-06 03:19:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x838ccb…
05-06 03:19:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c2994…
05-06 03:19:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56c12a…
05-06 03:16:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x22211f…
05-06 02:52:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x50301a…
05-06 02:09:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	798	81¢	$647	0x0a3838…
05-06 01:55:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0x8d5471…
05-06 01:36:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	399	83¢	$331	0x57abb7…
05-06 01:36:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x0db55c…
05-06 00:59:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	800	98¢	$780	0xe1ca55…
05-06 00:49:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$37	0x758ca2…
05-06 00:37:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	172	94¢	$162	0xcb9eac…
05-06 00:35:08	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	592	90¢	$533	0x7a3f7e…
05-06 00:14:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,023	82¢	$839	0x4d5180…
05-06 00:13:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x52ea28…
05-06 00:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0xfa971f…
05-06 00:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0xf41e7e…
05-06 00:12:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x12318b…
05-06 00:07:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x7ddbc2…
05-06 00:05:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x8dd96d…
05-06 00:04:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xb80278…
05-06 00:01:46	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x63a893…
05-06 00:01:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xdf52e2…
05-06 00:01:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc6cb14…
05-05 23:59:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	180	82¢	$148	0x9c0dcf…
05-05 23:53:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$189	0xe3a5b5…
05-05 23:52:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xf2521e…
05-05 23:51:52	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb2aa2f…
05-05 23:51:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0x164c60…
05-05 23:51:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x12c2d1…
05-05 23:51:36	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xb6a64b…
05-05 23:51:36	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0xb3d4ca…
05-05 23:50:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xac10f0…
05-05 23:48:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0ca344…
05-05 23:45:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x81f76e…
05-05 23:44:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xd87084…
05-05 23:42:12	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0xb434b2…
05-05 23:35:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x28c8ab…
05-05 23:17:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	72	85¢	$62	0xddec71…
05-05 23:10:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7888c8…
05-05 23:04:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	225	90¢	$202	0x46ec41…
05-05 23:04:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xc51307…
05-05 23:04:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0x4662a5…
05-05 23:01:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0xb4ab10…
05-05 23:01:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	67	81¢	$55	0x22b429…
05-05 23:01:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0xae09de…
05-05 23:00:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	401	85¢	$341	0x6ed40c…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	165	82¢	$136	0xb2a931…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x8ca9e8…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x39b9a5…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x29c775…
05-05 23:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x26e345…
05-05 23:00:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa6518a…
05-05 22:55:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	384	97¢	$373	0xe6122d…
05-05 22:54:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	82¢	$656	0x74d25d…
05-05 22:53:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	340	95¢	$324	0xec34f0…
05-05 22:53:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	277	82¢	$227	0x515d5e…
05-05 22:53:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	340	96¢	$325	0x1921ad…
05-05 22:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfb4e6a…
05-05 22:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xa45a2f…
05-05 20:28:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	164	98¢	$161	0x5f5971…
05-05 20:28:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x5e9833…
05-05 20:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf7450f…
05-05 20:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48d9f1…
05-05 20:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x700c6f…
05-05 19:58:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	385	97¢	$374	0xc1910e…
05-05 19:47:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	401	98¢	$393	0xeaadac…
05-05 18:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x2bc60b…
05-05 18:26:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xc37b03…
05-05 18:21:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x2afa5c…
05-05 14:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	459	96¢	$442	0x4f2c98…
05-05 14:13:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	650	94¢	$612	0xd7a144…
05-05 14:00:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x2a2482…
05-05 13:15:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	401	96¢	$386	0x85bafc…
05-05 12:55:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x753cf0…