Mortified-Underneath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-27 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

73% 60% +$8

Other

27% 10% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	07-27 12:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	01-14 10:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$74	51	51	+0	open	—	04-26 09:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$71	104	0	+104	open	—	06-15 20:37
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	7	$52	171	171	+0	open	—	02-13 09:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	04-19 20:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$50	168	143	+25	open	—	03-08 21:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	5	$44	102	102	+0	open	—	05-25 22:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 21:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$43	0	133	-133	open	—	06-11 20:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 21:50
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$33	103	51	+51	open	—	05-30 18:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 18:29
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	07-27 12:12
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$17	12	61	-48	open	—	06-14 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$16	0	73	-73	open	—	06-12 19:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$16	36	36	+0	open	—	07-06 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	0	29	-29	open	—	06-12 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$15	49	0	+49	open	—	03-06 07:42
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	3	$15	45	96	-51	open	—	06-12 19:20
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$10	117	142	-25	open	—	03-08 21:15
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	04-26 10:00
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-09 22:53
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	07-09 20:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$10	53	53	+0	open	—	05-21 18:19
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	76	82	-6	open	—	07-09 20:24
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	01-30 07:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$7	13	24	-11	open	—	06-12 19:19
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	2	$6	58	58	+0	open	—	02-13 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 12:14:30	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x2f9657…
07-27 12:12:10	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x370c67…
07-27 12:11:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xcb1622…
07-27 12:11:31	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x481c33…
07-27 12:11:22	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xce1503…
07-27 12:11:06	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf74f55…
07-27 12:10:48	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x250026…
07-27 12:07:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x444363…
07-27 12:07:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xbac5d5…
07-14 19:51:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x57f6bd…
07-14 19:50:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x01e813…
07-09 20:55:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0x69db7c…
07-09 20:52:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xea0608…
07-09 20:24:19	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0xa5397b…
07-08 09:06:40	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06b576…
07-06 10:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x9f64e0…
06-21 21:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb3c2e5…
06-20 14:39:41	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x3df5f7…
06-15 20:37:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x328c1f…
06-15 20:02:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xe3e71d…
06-15 00:51:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf918bb…
06-14 21:54:00	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x058e9f…
06-12 20:06:45	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0x30cdc3…
06-12 19:22:40	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x0ffd52…
06-12 19:20:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	22¢	$16	0xa22da7…
06-12 19:20:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0x21afef…
06-12 19:20:15	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	12¢	$11	0x78ad53…
06-12 19:20:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x18667a…
06-12 19:19:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x668707…
06-12 19:19:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x12a0b2…
06-12 19:19:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xb9a858…
06-11 20:16:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	133	32¢	$43	0x02dd35…
06-11 20:15:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x130da6…
06-01 20:55:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x7761ad…
06-01 20:54:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x403848…
05-30 21:42:48	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0c729d…
05-30 21:42:16	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x755b83…
05-30 21:36:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xaa5592…
05-30 18:09:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	51	25¢	$13	0x8dedf7…
05-30 12:09:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x262e3e…
05-30 10:28:52	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4bdc02…
05-30 08:36:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xd9baf9…
05-30 08:36:08	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x836a76…
05-29 05:14:37	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3c33c5…
05-25 22:55:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	51	40¢	$20	0x79d8d9…
05-25 21:43:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x6abd36…
05-25 21:43:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0xc7370e…
05-25 21:30:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1f09ad…
05-25 21:29:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x12b301…
05-25 21:17:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc37fcc…
05-23 23:11:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf1244…
05-21 18:19:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x5746c1…
05-21 05:16:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x62f588…
05-15 22:07:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x39f04b…
05-15 21:50:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x99f48e…
05-08 18:02:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x3775a1…
05-04 20:46:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x65711f…
05-04 20:46:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x86b156…
05-04 18:23:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb39ed3…
05-02 07:41:54	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x51ffbe…
05-01 05:14:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xcdc4e2…
04-30 22:03:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xafce08…
04-30 22:02:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xb1149b…
04-30 21:48:30	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xfb9c8a…
04-30 05:14:58	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xb792d5…
04-30 05:14:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xe5ea7b…
04-30 05:14:42	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x93e2ac…
04-30 05:14:28	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xc62971…
04-29 19:29:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x40422b…
04-29 19:29:24	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x2ac7c0…
04-29 19:28:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x39d8fb…
04-29 13:46:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6ecf08…
04-28 20:56:20	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x05da1e…
04-28 20:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x42eabe…
04-28 20:54:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x89e0c8…
04-28 20:53:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7fbc00…
04-27 19:35:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x64ff64…
04-27 18:29:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x86d439…
04-27 08:44:06	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x2ef27e…
04-27 08:43:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xbea755…
04-27 08:43:30	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x77771d…
04-27 07:10:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25bc5e…
04-27 07:09:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x406aaf…
04-27 07:07:50	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x8aaa1a…
04-27 07:07:28	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xea3563…
04-27 07:07:10	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xc3b4a3…
04-27 07:06:48	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	302	0¢	$1	0x0d66d5…
04-27 07:02:22	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0xeeec53…
04-27 07:02:08	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x149ca2…
04-27 07:01:46	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xc0f143…
04-27 07:00:04	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7c95e4…
04-26 19:19:54	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x200e4f…
04-26 19:19:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x1149cf…
04-26 10:07:06	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xb4ba77…
04-26 10:07:00	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xb56109…
04-26 10:06:52	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x5e8545…
04-26 10:06:40	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x817915…
04-26 10:06:32	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x868094…
04-26 10:06:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x73d67e…
04-26 10:06:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x9ba3fd…