Mortified-Underneath 0x544ed7…15016d
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
26
Trades
191
lifetime
Volume
$929
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$125
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-21 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
88% 60% +$8
Other
12% 10% $-13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +104 $71 100¢ $104 +$33 06-15 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +36 $5 18¢ $6 +$1 06-21 21:08
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -51 $-8 11¢ $-6 +$2 06-12 19:20
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $3 8¢ $4 +$1 06-20 14:39
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -51 $-4 6¢ $-3 +$1 06-12 19:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -11 $-2 11¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 19:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 19:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -15 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 19:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 19:20