Zigzag-Consent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$955

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$76

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 06-22 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

38% 96% +$1

Politics

34% 88% +$0

Crypto

26% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 75% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-76	-$60	82¢	$-62	-$2	06-22 05:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-76	-$16	18¢	$-13	+$2	06-22 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	68	$251	204	48	+156	No	+$1	06-02 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	36	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	06-02 13:48
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	19	$97	49	49	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 13:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$75	0	151	-151	open	—	06-22 05:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	20	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	06-16 16:54
Trump out as President by June 30?	17	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	10	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-30 20:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	8	$18	13	5	+8	No	+$0	06-17 22:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	06-17 02:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	7	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	3	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	06-17 00:53
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	7	$13	7	6	+0	No	+$0	06-14 16:28
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	3	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-30 10:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-30 23:16
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	3	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 05:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-29 22:35
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-01 01:48
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$9	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$7	6	1	+5	Yes	+$0	05-27 16:50
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	3	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 21:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-01 01:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-11 02:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-26 22:39
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 05:52
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-22 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 05:52:11	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x79cdf8…
06-22 05:52:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf32ad3…
06-22 05:52:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf31ea1…
06-22 05:52:10	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe3f379…
06-22 05:52:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdaf163…
06-22 05:52:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xad9cd6…
06-22 05:52:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f3a41…
06-22 05:52:10	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x52fc30…
06-22 05:52:10	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x50f4e6…
06-22 05:52:10	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4fcace…
06-22 05:52:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3d5e34…
06-22 05:52:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeef1b6…
06-22 05:52:08	Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd3ab2a…
06-22 05:52:08	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb4f1a3…
06-22 05:52:08	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb3cd19…
06-22 05:52:08	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x906768…
06-22 05:52:08	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	76	79¢	$60	0x733d89…
06-22 05:52:08	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6acaa0…
06-22 05:52:08	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2c5889…
06-22 05:52:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x27eca2…
06-22 05:52:08	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0x162e5c…
06-22 05:52:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x13b841…
06-22 05:52:08	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x037963…
06-21 01:41:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78e1a3…
06-19 13:52:26	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fb9bc…
06-19 11:49:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe0654a…
06-19 09:22:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x718b05…
06-18 23:50:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd64602…
06-18 23:10:23	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8a45e…
06-18 22:57:58	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x855296…
06-18 15:00:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6af16d…
06-18 08:57:56	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9559d…
06-17 22:32:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa592a8…
06-17 22:14:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5f23d…
06-17 21:53:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3bbf67…
06-17 21:49:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd16cc8…
06-17 02:50:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3281aa…
06-17 02:44:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x109454…
06-17 02:37:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f380c…
06-17 02:33:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4f983…
06-17 01:16:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x806b99…
06-17 00:58:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc1b7a…
06-17 00:53:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71b8c9…
06-17 00:53:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x540161…
06-17 00:18:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1affad…
06-17 00:10:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbed07e…
06-17 00:10:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeb8872…
06-16 23:48:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x364db5…
06-16 16:54:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf77e63…
06-16 15:56:50	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89cdd5…
06-16 10:29:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x50b4df…
06-16 07:29:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77a648…
06-16 02:02:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe29391…
06-16 01:51:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacf700…
06-16 01:30:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3403df…
06-16 01:23:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb8bf21…
06-15 17:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ccd9f…
06-15 16:48:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85615e…
06-15 16:45:36	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91111a…
06-15 16:39:06	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27928f…
06-15 07:24:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdeea3d…
06-14 23:20:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x825b85…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd0cb28…
06-13 23:24:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19b1d6…
06-13 22:37:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x851a5e…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x166793…
06-13 19:02:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x65dcac…
06-13 18:55:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5a659…
06-13 11:44:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc028de…
06-13 09:26:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8aed19…
06-13 04:44:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b8953…
06-12 23:43:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d5b8f…
06-12 21:30:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61aea…
06-12 21:07:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc57495…
06-12 19:01:13	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54dc48…
06-12 15:13:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x84cfaf…
06-12 03:26:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19ec59…
06-11 21:47:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26f77d…
06-11 20:18:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a7b23…
06-11 15:53:43	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a07e8…
06-11 03:06:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc324ad…
06-11 02:29:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x94b9e6…
06-10 17:51:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ecd8a…
06-10 17:18:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68d835…
06-10 13:18:51	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0d1e92…
06-10 13:16:10	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6eaacc…
06-10 13:10:30	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x64cc56…
06-07 22:00:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb9484e…
06-07 21:14:07	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1da51d…
06-07 20:28:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81d5b0…
06-07 19:15:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x24b308…
06-07 17:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4b6f9…
06-07 15:37:52	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xc0926c…
06-07 15:35:57	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8264b3…
06-07 15:28:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba5703…
06-07 02:57:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c0715…
06-07 01:51:34	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb3a775…
06-07 01:42:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb1f84e…
06-07 01:35:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd2a5c4…
06-06 23:09:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67a080…