Tall-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$348

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

79% 99% +$1

Sports

20% 33% -$344

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$964	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-28 17:16
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$344	930	0	+930	Yes	-$344	06-12 15:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$42	505	505	+0	No	$0	03-23 06:47
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$11	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-12 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 09:53
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-18 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-18 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 06:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-24 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 07:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-14 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 17?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-17 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 03:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-18 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 06:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x868d98…
08-25 06:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f7cbc…
08-25 06:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80f096…
07-24 07:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44100f…
07-24 07:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xf16083…
07-24 07:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81a610…
07-17 02:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c0653…
07-17 02:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x10b38c…
07-17 02:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e9907…
07-14 02:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77c2eb…
07-14 02:54:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf8aa00…
07-14 02:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63bd5e…
07-02 02:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf58b7e…
07-02 02:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x953fb4…
07-02 02:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c668c…
06-12 15:23:39	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	930	37¢	$344	0x0b64dc…
06-12 03:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5242c5…
06-12 03:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57d7a9…
06-12 03:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53df64…
06-09 06:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7bcb9b…
06-09 06:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32dd1d…
06-09 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf78dfe…
06-09 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9965af…
06-09 06:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x28fb66…
05-29 06:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x124fb0…
05-29 06:52:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52fa75…
05-29 06:48:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f5c83…
05-29 06:46:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9a748d…
05-25 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x572f7e…
05-25 07:14:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x059642…
05-25 07:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc8ef0a…
05-25 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a240d…
05-25 07:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba4de0…
05-25 07:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d971e…
05-22 09:58:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43d061…
05-22 09:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4f005…
05-22 09:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36045d…
05-22 09:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed5d4a…
05-22 09:52:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03d908…
05-22 09:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34fed…
05-21 08:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8733f…
05-21 08:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x560112…
05-21 08:36:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49581d…
05-21 08:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x729e4f…
05-21 08:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcdf74f…
05-21 08:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b8c3d…
05-20 08:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a4d63…
05-20 08:32:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x027f89…
05-20 08:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ce605…
05-18 09:26:25	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3fb61…
05-18 09:24:52	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dd67c…
05-18 09:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x618dac…
05-18 09:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x380b7a…
05-18 09:17:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x530b5e…
05-18 09:16:21	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x77b90f…
05-14 09:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6147de…
05-14 09:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x756070…
05-14 09:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3016d1…
05-13 09:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xeaaea8…
05-13 09:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe8fbb2…
05-13 09:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x244a50…
05-13 09:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6d904…
05-13 09:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f28b…
05-13 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3041cc…
05-13 09:43:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x006cf1…
05-13 09:42:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad34f7…
05-13 09:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e3c4a…
05-11 10:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad18a6…
05-11 10:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2a10b…
05-11 09:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2643b…
05-11 09:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c24dc…
05-11 09:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x989f63…
05-11 09:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9dda1d…
05-11 09:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d9a10…
05-11 09:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4e007…
05-11 09:52:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd16192…
05-11 09:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x61b435…
05-11 09:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2bff5c…
05-11 09:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeac7af…
05-09 03:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0eb11…
05-09 03:10:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c46ff…
05-09 03:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x826bb9…
05-08 06:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 25°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ca8dc…
05-08 06:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde36a1…
05-08 06:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c0792…
05-07 02:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c442b…
05-07 02:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x754eb4…
05-07 02:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0cadfb…
04-28 17:16:22	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$482	0x8e6e2f…
04-28 16:42:06	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x530e72…
04-27 09:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2e5db…
04-27 09:37:40	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2b5f7…
04-27 09:35:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30529a…
04-23 10:01:46	highest temperature in jeddah on april 24 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7b05b6…
04-23 09:58:46	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01d749…
04-23 09:57:08	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 9c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe932b3…
03-23 06:47:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	163	4¢	$6	0x9a7e26…
03-23 06:33:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0x8c041f…
03-23 06:33:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x3ac8a0…
03-20 07:42:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x870cbe…