Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,322
lifetime
Volume
$133.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$10.6K
23 positions
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-11 15:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% — —
Politics
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,021 $3,820 96¢ $3.8K +$20 11-11 11:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $930 94¢ $935 +$5 11-11 16:00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +995 $905 90¢ $900 -$5 11-11 11:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +975 $829 86¢ $834 +$5 11-11 15:43
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +544 $491 92¢ $498 +$7 11-11 14:07
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November? No +500 $472 96¢ $480 +$7 11-11 16:14
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +500 $463 93¢ $466 +$4 11-11 16:17
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +500 $445 86¢ $433 -$12 11-11 00:32
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? No +494 $412 84¢ $417 +$5 11-11 15:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +462 $212 88¢ $404 +$192 11-11 15:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? No +286 $284 99¢ $284 +$0 11-11 09:34
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +320 $252 80¢ $254 +$2 11-11 14:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,607 $205 8¢ $205 $0 11-11 11:41
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +132 $123 95¢ $126 +$3 11-11 04:49
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +132 $126 94¢ $125 -$1 11-10 23:04
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +120 $116 97¢ $116 +$0 11-11 12:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? No +111 $110 99¢ $110 +$0 11-11 14:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +143 $190 66¢ $94 -$96 11-11 15:29
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in November? No +67 $64 98¢ $66 +$1 11-11 09:28
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +28 $26 92¢ $26 +$0 11-10 23:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +20 $13 92¢ $19 +$5 11-11 02:56
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 $0 11-08 05:19
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +177 $3 2¢ $3 +$0 11-09 18:10