Kaleidoscopic-Hobbit 0x56e89d…e5a57c
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
170
Trades
968
lifetime
Volume
$5.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$439
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-30 16:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
85% 73% +$20
Other
10% 22% -$68
Tech
4% 80% $0
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -27,788 -$195 1¢ $-278 -$83 04-28 13:01
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +360 $54 14¢ $50 -$4 10-28 12:12
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,140 -$13 3¢ $-29 -$17 05-01 19:01
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +13 $12 88¢ $12 $0 09-18 15:22
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 09-18 15:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 09-18 15:25
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +40 $6 22¢ $9 +$3 10-30 16:19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 09-18 14:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 09-18 14:26
will anthropic announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $0 09-18 14:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-27 18:48
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $0 09-18 14:26
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3 -$2 66¢ $-2 $0 04-28 16:48
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-08 13:26
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-30 09:05
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-28 09:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-01 13:35
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-18 14:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-01 13:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 09-02 07:25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-01 13:38
Human moon landing in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-21 07:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-05 14:21
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-18 14:50
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-18 14:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 10-07 17:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-27 18:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 10-07 17:31
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 09-18 14:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-27 18:47