Realized P&L (24h)
+$685
Unrealized P&L
+$229
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
1
15 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.49K
$5.48K lifetime
Avg / trade
$365
Open exposure
$1.75K
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-12 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
81% 100% +$262
Politics
17% 50% +$685
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes -13,649 $-486 $-887 $-402 05-12 16:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +1,667 $200 12¢ $208 +$8 05-11 14:44
Iran leadership change by May 31? Yes -2,426 $-194 $-182 +$12 05-12 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -2,222 $-906 $-167 +$739 05-06 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? Yes +3,061 $150 $153 +$3 05-07 20:41
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +4,348 $100 $98 $-2 05-08 14:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +1,111 $200 $29 $-171 05-10 20:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Yes -2,550 $-70 $-29 +$41 05-07 21:19