Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
249
Trades
413
lifetime
Volume
$506
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-31 14:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Politics
54% 86% -$4
Other
38% 89% +$1
Tech
7% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-23 17:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-20 11:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-24 20:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-21 18:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-31 14:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 10-28 05:31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-25 11:57