Sarcastic-Rabbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$218

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.6%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 09-15 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

75% 15% -$149

Politics

17% 10% -$99

Crypto

7% 23% -$113

Sports

1% 100% +$156

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	26	$653	25,793	15,039	+10,755	No	-$174	06-25 22:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	7	$338	2,436	2,436	+0	open	—	05-23 18:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$272	2,269	2,269	+0	No	-$38	05-24 21:28
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	4	$186	972	972	+0	open	—	05-18 20:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	5	$164	737	737	+0	No	-$22	05-12 21:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$157	3,926	3,926	+0	No	-$11	08-28 16:25
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	6	$132	1,060	1,060	+0	No	-$14	05-28 19:54
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	3	$128	418	418	+0	No	+$36	05-23 09:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$125	500	500	+0	No	+$45	05-19 22:59
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$124	984	260	+723	Yes	-$56	05-29 22:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$121	870	870	+0	open	—	05-10 22:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$111	3,976	3,976	+0	No	-$29	05-20 16:11
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	3	$111	325	162	+162	Yes	+$220	05-16 16:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$105	263	263	+0	open	—	05-18 15:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	3	$97	532	532	+0	No	-$23	06-07 21:24
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	8	$86	5,066	5,066	+0	No	-$35	05-24 21:24
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	4	$80	1,540	0	+1,540	Yes	-$80	05-17 13:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$76	770	770	+0	No	-$4	05-20 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$68	1,609	1,609	+0	No	-$6	06-07 22:36
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	3	$67	450	450	+0	open	—	09-01 16:07
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	2	$62	755	755	+0	No	-$4	05-24 14:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$60	231	231	+0	open	—	09-06 09:23
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$56	125	125	+0	No	-$4	05-20 16:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$55	549	494	+56	No	-$11	06-11 18:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$49	103	103	+0	open	—	09-15 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	10	$48	44	44	+0	Down	-$2	05-12 19:22
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	2	$47	168	168	+0	No	-$29	06-01 20:13
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	2	$42	1,107	1,107	+0	No	-$17	05-25 21:06
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$39	195	0	+195	Sean Strickland	+$156	05-10 01:46
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$36	225	225	+0	No	-$4	05-18 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 07:49:27	will trump say transgender remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	118	13¢	$15	0xb29d4f…
09-15 07:47:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	17¢	$18	0x350154…
09-14 19:19:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	30¢	$31	0xffe65d…
09-06 09:23:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	13¢	$30	0x589639…
09-06 08:44:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x233d59…
09-01 16:07:18	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	7¢	$32	0xa89394…
08-29 18:06:43	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	8¢	$25	0x2a8950…
08-29 18:05:39	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0xe53f06…
08-28 16:25:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,041	1¢	$37	0xb7b26b…
08-28 13:46:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,041	1¢	$46	0x36bad7…
07-09 16:38:43	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2,878	0¢	$9	0x930785…
07-08 23:49:05	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,878	1¢	$15	0xadd375…
07-08 19:54:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	884	4¢	$36	0xb4960a…
07-01 03:33:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	884	4¢	$39	0xb0b2f3…
06-25 22:15:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x22d62b…
06-25 21:37:20	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	347	1¢	$5	0x04f309…
06-25 01:10:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,589	0¢	$11	0x0977da…
06-23 12:53:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,749	1¢	$46	0x933de0…
06-23 01:47:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x7edb36…
06-20 17:05:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0x7e4099…
06-19 18:29:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x42c3cd…
06-19 18:29:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,462	0¢	$17	0x7de215…
06-11 18:12:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0xbb80fc…
06-11 18:11:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$9	0x170c83…
06-11 13:26:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	269	8¢	$22	0xdcc962…
06-11 13:26:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	494	4¢	$22	0x274aa9…
06-11 03:11:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	494	5¢	$24	0xe9a1c1…
06-11 03:10:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,196	1¢	$26	0x0765d7…
06-07 22:37:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,999	1¢	$30	0x72daca…
06-07 22:36:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,609	2¢	$31	0xbf78f7…
06-07 21:25:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,609	2¢	$37	0xcfc319…
06-07 21:24:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	532	7¢	$37	0x146e70…
06-05 00:16:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,086	1¢	$11	0xfc1122…
06-05 00:15:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	12¢	$20	0x85d67d…
06-04 21:54:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0x385eb4…
06-03 15:05:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,045	2¢	$39	0x4f5c52…
06-01 20:14:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$9	0x961a29…
06-01 20:13:49	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	168	5¢	$9	0xd9c5ef…
06-01 00:48:43	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	168	23¢	$38	0x6370b8…
06-01 00:47:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,118	2¢	$40	0x332298…
05-29 22:50:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	736	3¢	$19	0x1c8f20…
05-29 22:44:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	723	3¢	$20	0xb5b78f…
05-29 22:43:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,622	3¢	$41	0xa4d805…
05-28 23:21:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,344	2¢	$27	0xbf89bd…
05-28 23:16:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,533	2¢	$29	0xbf89c9…
05-28 19:55:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	868	3¢	$23	0x7ec951…
05-28 19:54:24	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	5¢	$17	0xb0b042…
05-28 19:54:00	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x962c7f…
05-28 16:39:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x4d22da…
05-28 16:39:13	Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x231564…
05-27 20:42:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,481	3¢	$40	0x013abf…
05-27 19:37:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	769	3¢	$20	0x43861a…
05-27 19:33:29	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xf00e8c…
05-27 19:32:33	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf1a7f6…
05-26 17:59:51	Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7e7297…
05-26 17:59:23	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0x2e811d…
05-25 21:10:18	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$12	0xaac083…
05-25 21:06:07	Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	1,107	1¢	$13	0x16a587…
05-24 21:28:27	Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	1,107	3¢	$30	0xcbd1bf…
05-24 21:28:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	259	3¢	$7	0xd9c4c3…
05-24 21:24:38	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	5,066	0¢	$25	0xed9cc3…
05-24 19:13:38	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	5,239	0¢	$10	0xf8024f…
05-24 19:12:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	293	3¢	$10	0x272b16…
05-24 14:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	552	5¢	$29	0x0aa40f…
05-24 14:47:49	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	755	4¢	$29	0x931ce1…
05-23 23:11:11	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	755	4¢	$33	0x4e724c…
05-23 23:09:10	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	465	7¢	$33	0x05d3eb…
05-23 20:18:50	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	465	7¢	$33	0xe3f6b8…
05-23 20:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	290	11¢	$33	0xb835df…
05-23 18:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x4b5897…
05-23 18:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xe14a41…
05-23 18:10:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	7¢	$8	0xb09309…
05-23 18:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	199	13¢	$25	0xff59e1…
05-23 17:59:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	302	9¢	$28	0xa3dd10…
05-23 17:29:02	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0xefd313…
05-23 14:46:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	302	10¢	$30	0x65db04…
05-23 14:38:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	260	13¢	$34	0xa0e11e…
05-23 13:17:54	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x285c03…
05-23 10:41:47	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x8192b6…
05-23 10:13:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x4e5c66…
05-23 09:45:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,003	7¢	$70	0x13feb6…
05-23 09:41:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,127	7¢	$80	0xd90700…
05-23 09:41:15	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	418	20¢	$82	0xc3ee97…
05-21 03:40:59	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	1,189	2¢	$23	0x170fd6…
05-21 03:40:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,875	1¢	$25	0x4e3888…
05-20 16:13:07	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	236	11¢	$26	0xf725e6…
05-20 16:12:36	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	21¢	$26	0x2c6db1…
05-20 16:11:47	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xfc67d2…
05-20 16:11:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,254	1¢	$11	0xb1856a…
05-20 16:11:15	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	262	4¢	$10	0x2d3a13…
05-20 01:30:53	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	598	1¢	$5	0x2e3a40…
05-20 00:06:36	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xcae160…
05-20 00:03:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	770	5¢	$36	0x823090…
05-19 23:57:44	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	1,143	1¢	$8	0x97e912…
05-19 23:35:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	770	5¢	$40	0x849580…
05-19 23:27:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,254	2¢	$20	0xed1a45…
05-19 23:20:08	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	BUY	262	8¢	$20	0x7af542…
05-19 22:59:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xc3d192…
05-19 16:08:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xbc12d3…
05-19 16:06:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,125	4¢	$39	0x47f730…