Sarcastic-Rabbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

-$101

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-25 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

13% 38% $-14

Sports

2% 100% +$156

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes		+9,985	$111	0¢	$10	$-101	06-25 22:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	18	$417	21,916	11,931	+9,985	open	—	06-25 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$262	2,269	1,976	+293	open	—	05-24 21:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$125	500	500	+0	open	—	05-19 22:59
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$124	984	260	+723	open	—	05-29 22:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$111	3,976	3,976	+0	open	—	05-20 16:11
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	3	$111	325	162	+162	open	—	05-16 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	3	$97	532	532	+0	open	—	06-07 21:24
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	4	$80	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	05-17 13:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$76	770	770	+0	open	—	05-20 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$68	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	06-07 22:36
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$55	549	494	+56	open	—	06-11 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	10	$48	44	44	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 19:22
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	2	$47	168	168	+0	open	—	06-01 20:13
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$39	195	0	+195	Sean Strickland	+$156	05-10 01:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$35	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	05-10 21:16
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$35	106	106	+0	open	—	06-20 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$32	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	05-10 19:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$31	269	269	+0	open	—	06-11 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$20	192	192	+0	open	—	05-12 19:23
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	2	$19	735	735	+0	open	—	05-10 21:25
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	1	$17	0	333	-333	open	—	05-28 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$15	500	0	+500	Down	$-15	05-10 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$15	27	0	+27	Up	+$12	05-10 21:30
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	2	$14	625	625	+0	open	—	05-26 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$12	250	250	+0	Down	$-8	05-12 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$12	332	332	+0	Down	$-6	05-10 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$10	38	0	+38	Down	$-10	05-10 19:31
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	36	36	+0	open	—	05-13 16:53
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	1	$8	0	250	-250	open	—	05-28 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 22:15:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x22d62b…
06-25 21:37:20	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	347	1¢	$5	0x04f309…
06-25 01:10:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,589	0¢	$11	0x0977da…
06-23 12:53:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,749	1¢	$46	0x933de0…
06-23 01:47:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x7edb36…
06-20 17:05:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0x7e4099…
06-19 18:29:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x42c3cd…
06-19 18:29:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,462	0¢	$17	0x7de215…
06-11 18:12:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0xbb80fc…
06-11 18:11:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$9	0x170c83…
06-11 13:26:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	269	8¢	$22	0xdcc962…
06-11 13:26:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	494	4¢	$22	0x274aa9…
06-11 03:11:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	494	5¢	$24	0xe9a1c1…
06-11 03:10:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,196	1¢	$26	0x0765d7…
06-07 22:37:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,999	1¢	$30	0x72daca…
06-07 22:36:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,609	2¢	$31	0xbf78f7…
06-07 21:25:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,609	2¢	$37	0xcfc319…
06-07 21:24:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	532	7¢	$37	0x146e70…
06-05 00:16:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,086	1¢	$11	0xfc1122…
06-05 00:15:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	12¢	$20	0x85d67d…
06-04 21:54:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0x385eb4…
06-03 15:05:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,045	2¢	$39	0x4f5c52…
06-01 20:14:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$9	0x961a29…
06-01 20:13:49	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	168	5¢	$9	0xd9c5ef…
06-01 00:48:43	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	168	23¢	$38	0x6370b8…
06-01 00:47:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,118	2¢	$40	0x332298…
05-29 22:50:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	736	3¢	$19	0x1c8f20…
05-29 22:44:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	723	3¢	$20	0xb5b78f…
05-29 22:43:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,622	3¢	$41	0xa4d805…
05-28 23:21:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,344	2¢	$27	0xbf89bd…
05-28 23:16:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,533	2¢	$29	0xbf89c9…
05-28 19:55:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	868	3¢	$23	0x7ec951…
05-28 19:54:24	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	5¢	$17	0xb0b042…
05-28 19:54:00	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0x962c7f…
05-28 16:39:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x4d22da…
05-28 16:39:13	Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x231564…
05-27 20:42:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,481	3¢	$40	0x013abf…
05-26 17:59:51	Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7e7297…
05-26 17:59:23	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0x2e811d…
05-25 21:10:18	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$12	0xaac083…
05-24 21:28:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	259	3¢	$7	0xd9c4c3…
05-24 14:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	552	5¢	$29	0x0aa40f…
05-23 20:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	290	11¢	$33	0xb835df…
05-23 18:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x4b5897…
05-23 18:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xe14a41…
05-23 18:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	199	13¢	$25	0xff59e1…
05-23 17:59:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	302	9¢	$28	0xa3dd10…
05-23 14:46:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	302	10¢	$30	0x65db04…
05-23 14:38:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	260	13¢	$34	0xa0e11e…
05-23 10:41:47	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x8192b6…
05-23 10:13:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x4e5c66…
05-20 16:11:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,254	1¢	$11	0xb1856a…
05-20 00:03:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	770	5¢	$36	0x823090…
05-19 23:35:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	770	5¢	$40	0x849580…
05-19 23:27:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,254	2¢	$20	0xed1a45…
05-19 22:59:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xc3d192…
05-19 16:08:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xbc12d3…
05-19 16:06:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,125	4¢	$39	0x47f730…
05-18 20:41:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	487	6¢	$30	0xde7fd8…
05-18 20:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xb5ec67…
05-18 20:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6d709b…
05-18 20:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf01579…
05-18 19:39:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	638	5¢	$30	0x031fe7…
05-18 19:24:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,721	1¢	$30	0x742ee5…
05-18 17:24:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,721	2¢	$50	0x7b07ed…
05-17 13:09:33	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xa085c7…
05-16 16:52:27	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	162	52¢	$84	0x86d3dc…
05-13 16:53:45	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xafdc54…
05-13 16:53:15	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0xf5e794…
05-12 21:01:53	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	672	5¢	$34	0x1dfa42…
05-12 20:58:39	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	666	5¢	$33	0xee55d4…
05-12 19:24:19	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	159	11¢	$17	0x553498…
05-12 19:23:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	192	5¢	$10	0xaff560…
05-12 19:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xb1ce58…
05-12 19:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xce1ca0…
05-12 19:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xd4f3a6…
05-12 19:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdee053…
05-12 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xff1d51…
05-12 19:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x7643b1…
05-12 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x86c85c…
05-12 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5b36da…
05-12 19:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x40ba46…
05-12 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x48f29a…
05-12 19:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x1791e6…
05-12 19:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6f7eea…
05-12 19:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3ba3a9…
05-12 19:09:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xeb3e92…
05-12 19:07:17	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x5fed41…
05-10 22:36:51	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8414f4…
05-10 21:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd9e58d…
05-10 21:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x859271…
05-10 21:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xec5001…
05-10 21:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x992a34…
05-10 21:25:28	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	SELL	735	0¢	$3	0xc3f335…
05-10 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	332	1¢	$3	0x71f173…
05-10 21:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	207	2¢	$4	0x28c9e7…
05-10 21:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x16b333…
05-10 21:16:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,071	1¢	$11	0x88882f…
05-10 20:11:57	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	735	2¢	$16	0x4663c7…
05-10 20:01:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,071	1¢	$15	0xcbeef1…