Sarcastic-Rabbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$192

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$94

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

29% — —

Crypto

22% 50% $-14

Politics

21% — —

Sports

20% 100% +$156

Pop-Culture

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	-361	$-36	11¢	$-40	$-4	05-12 21:01
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	+735	$16	3¢	$20	+$4	05-10 20:11
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	+166	$10	8¢	$14	+$4	05-12 19:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	+409	$30	3¢	$14	$-16	05-10 12:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	-1,429	$-15	0¢	$-4	+$11	05-10 21:16
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	+36	$5	9¢	$3	$-2	05-10 22:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:01:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	361	10¢	$36	0x4a52b3…
05-12 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x48f29a…
05-12 19:07:17	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x5fed41…
05-10 22:36:51	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8414f4…
05-10 21:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x992a34…
05-10 21:16:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,071	1¢	$11	0x88882f…
05-10 20:11:57	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	735	2¢	$16	0x4663c7…
05-10 19:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0xa77211…
05-10 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd8705b…
05-10 19:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x96297d…
05-10 18:59:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	357	1¢	$4	0xb597ee…
05-10 12:51:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	409	7¢	$30	0x826719…
05-10 01:46:00	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	195	20¢	$39	0x505d18…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$796	31	05-12 19:25
Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2	3	$10.4K	3	05-10 02:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	3	$4.24K	44	05-10 19:29
Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526	3	$658	11	05-13 13:08
Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56	3	$651	7	05-11 23:21
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	3	$588	24	05-12 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$39	195	0	+195	Sean Strickland	+$156	05-10 01:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	1	$36	0	361	-361	open	—	05-12 21:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$30	409	0	+409	open	—	05-10 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$22	0	32	-32	Up	$-11	05-10 19:28
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	1	$16	735	0	+735	open	—	05-10 20:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$15	0	1,429	-1,429	open	—	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	250	0	+250	Down	$-10	05-10 19:03
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	1	$10	166	0	+166	open	—	05-12 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 19:20
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-10 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-10 21:26