Darling-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$803

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-24 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% 0% $-0

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No		+13	$13	100¢	$13	+$0	06-24 09:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	04-27 17:12
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	04-24 05:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	04-20 10:32
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-02 03:18
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	03-23 22:54
nba bkn det 2026 03 07	1	$43	50	0	+50	open	—	03-07 21:12
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-21 02:48
nba atl mil 2026 03 04	1	$17	32	0	+32	open	—	03-04 19:26
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-25 05:27
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	$-0	03-25 15:45
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	1	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 22:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-24 09:35
nba orl min 2026 03 07	1	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	03-07 21:12
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$-0	03-24 09:01
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	1	$6	38	0	+38	open	—	03-25 22:16
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	03-24 03:46
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	03-24 14:14
nba chi okc 2026 03 27	1	$3	47	0	+47	open	—	03-27 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 09:35:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x894e11…
04-27 17:12:34	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xe65c97…
04-27 14:18:38	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0d0b3a…
04-24 05:14:28	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xd9b862…
04-24 02:49:36	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf6bf31…
04-20 10:32:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x529b52…
04-20 05:54:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x0d1de6…
03-27 22:02:07	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Bulls	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xc088bf…
03-25 22:16:07	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Nets	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xa4a4bf…
03-25 15:45:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x124ff2…
03-25 10:41:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f1964…
03-25 05:27:47	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xba3ee3…
03-25 00:24:57	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cab95…
03-24 14:14:07	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x215a6e…
03-24 09:01:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x073d5a…
03-24 03:46:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x94af3a…
03-24 03:46:23	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbc64bf…
03-23 22:54:37	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Mavericks	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xdaf69b…
03-23 22:54:17	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x69162e…
03-23 15:20:51	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3c799a…
03-22 09:45:39	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0f3e1c…
03-22 04:39:09	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b5915…
03-21 02:48:03	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x386583…
03-20 00:26:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd09fb7…
03-07 21:12:29	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Pistons	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x2bf933…
03-07 21:12:01	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0xee5a8e…
03-04 19:26:47	nba atl mil 2026 03 04	Bucks	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x9a50a3…
03-02 03:18:39	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x00e59f…
02-28 06:51:11	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xabbc3a…