All-Milestone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$735

Unrealized P&L

+$4.62K

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

539

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$10.3K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-12 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

65% 37% -$996

Crypto

17% 67% +$1,003

Politics

16% 53% -$675

Sports

1% 0% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	+2,392	$522	99¢	$2.4K	+$1,855	10-31 15:55
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,004	$763	94¢	$1.9K	+$1,131	10-22 18:46
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+2,103	$691	79¢	$1.7K	+$971	07-16 13:43
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,086	$357	92¢	$993	+$637	09-22 12:32
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-989	-$879	94¢	$-931	-$52	10-09 11:52
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+2,381	$476	36¢	$845	+$369	07-08 07:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,425	$222	31¢	$448	+$226	10-26 14:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	-489	-$308	82¢	$-403	-$95	05-08 22:11
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	+464	$201	58¢	$271	+$70	10-20 20:29
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+159	$77	66¢	$104	+$27	10-07 13:51
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+461	$81	18¢	$85	+$4	10-29 09:39
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	+95	$44	83¢	$79	+$35	10-04 05:04
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	+53	$40	93¢	$49	+$10	09-22 12:34
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-49	-$28	98¢	$-48	-$20	09-01 12:59
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	+183	$21	22¢	$41	+$20	09-11 13:17
will perpl launch a token by june 30 2027 20260708174007610	No	+54	$26	66¢	$36	+$10	07-15 12:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,887	$601	1¢	$25	-$575	10-31 08:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	9	$1.4K	805	805	-0	open	—	10-03 04:45
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$1.3K	2,394	0	+2,394	Yes	+$1,062	04-30 16:45
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.1K	1,251	1,054	+198	Yes	+$155	05-27 16:06
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$956	50	1,039	-989	open	—	10-09 11:52
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	9	$930	782	782	+0	open	—	09-18 00:11
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$921	670	670	+0	No	+$137	04-30 16:15
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$768	423	423	-0	No	+$40	08-13 13:22
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	12	$767	1,956	1,956	+0	No	-$461	05-29 16:12
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	7	$763	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	10-22 18:46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	17	$759	683	683	+0	Yes	+$226	05-26 12:50
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$747	913	913	+0	open	—	09-16 20:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	4	$711	707	707	+0	No	+$682	10-31 14:44
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	10	$691	2,103	0	+2,103	open	—	07-16 13:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	4	$677	2,252	2,252	+0	No	-$268	05-26 17:37
will neutrl launch a token by december 31 2026	6	$628	484	484	+0	open	—	08-14 15:34
will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2026	3	$619	383	383	+0	open	—	08-02 21:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	21	$609	4,518	2,631	+1,887	open	—	10-31 08:27
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$591	593	593	+0	No	-$20	05-26 10:04
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	5	$538	1,160	115	+1,045	No	+$667	05-19 00:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$536	429	429	+0	No	-$4	05-19 01:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	6	$522	2,392	0	+2,392	open	—	10-31 15:55
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$476	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	07-08 07:16
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	2	$463	325	325	+0	No	+$181	09-02 15:50
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$448	3,096	3,096	+0	open	—	10-25 17:20
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	8	$446	1,207	1,207	+0	No	-$422	05-29 16:15
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?	4	$445	559	559	+0	open	—	05-29 15:40
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$439	1,136	50	+1,086	open	—	09-22 12:32
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?	6	$433	256	256	+0	open	—	09-07 00:19
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$414	286	286	+0	open	—	10-16 14:39
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	7	$412	0	508	-508	No	-$96	05-23 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:08:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xc127a9…
11-12 07:51:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	658	0¢	$1	0xad57f3…
11-12 07:51:52	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1,237	0¢	$1	0xbd520c…
11-08 01:20:52	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x27019a…
11-08 01:20:09	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x6507f3…
11-08 01:19:58	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	355	2¢	$7	0xda3d38…
10-31 15:55:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xafbc07…
10-31 15:54:21	Will Phygitals launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x4bbf80…
10-31 15:54:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x73c2ff…
10-31 15:53:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0xa977d4…
10-31 14:44:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	902	19¢	$175	0x35b9e9…
10-31 14:44:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x58e8d0…
10-31 08:30:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	415	25¢	$104	0x97196d…
10-31 08:29:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	3¢	$4	0x7984e6…
10-31 08:28:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	826	24¢	$196	0x2854f7…
10-31 08:27:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,887	8¢	$149	0xe2f9e7…
10-31 08:27:25	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	472	98¢	$462	0x59b25e…
10-30 09:24:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x6f2cc0…
10-29 13:44:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	699	1¢	$8	0x503c62…
10-29 13:43:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,631	0¢	$4	0x06a253…
10-29 09:39:55	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	192	17¢	$33	0x0ee947…
10-26 14:12:18	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	252	17¢	$44	0x95b9f2…
10-25 17:25:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe351ae…
10-25 17:24:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xd560ea…
10-25 17:20:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	428	1¢	$3	0x799528…
10-25 17:19:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	553	3¢	$17	0xa3dbc4…
10-25 17:19:02	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,457	1¢	$17	0xff644f…
10-25 17:18:47	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	211	1¢	$2	0xb2e466…
10-25 17:15:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	14¢	$26	0xc056af…
10-25 14:03:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd36b88…
10-25 14:02:20	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	437	18¢	$77	0x55b8a8…
10-25 14:01:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	343	13¢	$45	0xa3faa0…
10-25 05:21:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcb6b9a…
10-25 05:00:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2073fb…
10-25 04:52:38	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	18¢	$46	0x881739…
10-25 04:52:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x5bf5b2…
10-25 04:52:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x2a3e06…
10-25 04:51:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xcccb2b…
10-25 04:50:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	358	18¢	$66	0x404f32…
10-25 04:49:38	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x75fce5…
10-24 14:21:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	204	18¢	$37	0x45595f…
10-24 14:17:32	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1,512	2¢	$34	0xae70cb…
10-24 14:11:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	285	17¢	$49	0x731611…
10-23 11:53:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xb912fa…
10-23 11:50:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	734	19¢	$140	0xfa8a33…
10-23 11:50:06	Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	60	44¢	$27	0x9bdcac…
10-23 07:44:41	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0xfb3445…
10-23 07:36:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xce9767…
10-23 07:35:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x53fef0…
10-23 07:31:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x68e875…
10-23 07:28:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xbcb71f…
10-23 07:27:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	310	18¢	$55	0x1b99db…
10-22 19:39:14	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	354	20¢	$70	0xaca52d…
10-22 19:11:24	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	126	97¢	$123	0xff0238…
10-22 19:08:15	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x85efd4…
10-22 19:05:02	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0xda2732…
10-22 19:04:09	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xa45242…
10-22 18:59:21	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	178	20¢	$35	0x5a98f1…
10-22 18:49:36	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	123	57¢	$71	0x8c6dac…
10-22 18:48:24	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	42¢	$36	0x5f165c…
10-22 18:48:02	Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3fea08…
10-22 18:47:56	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x28f762…
10-22 18:46:57	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	354	88¢	$310	0x03f83f…
10-22 18:46:39	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	455	70¢	$317	0x5a2873…
10-21 19:37:54	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	279	18¢	$51	0x39e9c2…
10-21 07:02:42	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x529f66…
10-20 20:29:23	Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	247	42¢	$103	0xea566f…
10-20 20:28:26	Will OnRe launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x1dc161…
10-16 14:39:19	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x77c238…
10-16 14:14:19	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x8d609a…
10-16 14:13:49	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0x790e69…
10-15 13:16:31	standx fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x2e5acc…
10-09 16:59:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xfb4dd5…
10-09 16:58:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	864	7¢	$60	0x5a5774…
10-09 11:52:03	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	290	90¢	$261	0x302f68…
10-09 11:17:00	Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0x1a9395…
10-07 13:51:40	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x514153…
10-07 13:51:25	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0xb08b6d…
10-06 13:44:36	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x9764f5…
10-06 13:43:04	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	29¢	$31	0x39a306…
10-06 13:42:52	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	355	15¢	$54	0x558333…
10-06 13:42:07	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xc7a421…
10-06 13:41:06	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	290	90¢	$261	0x3502cb…
10-04 05:11:38	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x3f4ad8…
10-04 05:11:28	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	73	14¢	$10	0x11dcbd…
10-04 05:04:10	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	46¢	$44	0x9bc807…
10-03 10:47:44	StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	125	39¢	$49	0xd77c59…
10-03 10:47:21	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	165	47¢	$78	0xe748f1…
10-03 10:47:05	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x777e8b…
10-03 10:40:29	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x241478…
10-03 10:36:12	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	283	79¢	$224	0xdef5d5…
10-03 10:32:03	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0x8e9ac4…
10-03 10:26:30	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x30dc5b…
10-03 10:14:54	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	538	16¢	$86	0xafdf66…
10-03 10:13:14	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	689	27¢	$188	0x85ab28…
10-03 04:45:44	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	395	93¢	$367	0xb2e2f0…
10-03 04:44:06	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x85e6ac…
10-03 04:43:57	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	183	94¢	$171	0x5d33b6…
10-01 13:20:51	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	190	92¢	$174	0xdcf775…
10-01 13:20:41	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0x716b6d…