(anonymous) 0x5aa021…77c2d1
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
-$1.39K
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
31
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$3.57K
29 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-28 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
79% 50% +$118
Other
20% 50% +$11
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,390 $1,637 37¢ $884 -$753 10-20 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +900 $566 62¢ $553 -$12 10-22 20:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +700 $488 61¢ $427 -$61 10-22 03:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $331 72¢ $362 +$32 10-19 22:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $406 40¢ $279 -$127 09-29 16:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +400 $216 48¢ $192 -$24 10-23 18:12
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $101 61¢ $189 +$88 09-29 00:28
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +310 $235 39¢ $121 -$114 09-26 02:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +200 $116 57¢ $114 -$2 10-22 21:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +400 $172 28¢ $110 -$62 10-23 18:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $84 71¢ $71 -$13 09-28 07:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 09-26 22:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $42 42¢ $42 $0 10-09 00:52
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$2 09-26 04:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +49 -$24 63¢ $31 +$55 09-25 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $42 12¢ $23 -$19 10-01 03:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +19 $10 80¢ $15 +$5 10-08 10:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 09-26 03:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +40 $13 22¢ $9 -$5 09-26 00:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +3,111 $44 0¢ $8 -$36 09-28 13:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 77¢ $8 +$1 09-28 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 $0 09-25 19:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 $0 09-25 07:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 09-25 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 62¢ $6 -$1 09-25 06:52
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +116 $321 3¢ $3 -$318 10-17 12:56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +20 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 09-28 01:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +350 $14 1¢ $2 -$11 09-25 16:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $16 2¢ $1 -$15 09-23 02:30