Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

129

Trades

459

lifetime

Volume

$6.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 11-03 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

77% 3% -$61

Politics

11% 0% -$1

Sports

5% 0% $0

Crypto

4% 93% -$4

Tech

2% 0% -$16

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	12	$475	300	300	+0	open	—	09-17 02:16
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$375	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	09-16 15:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	8	$350	187	187	+0	open	—	09-17 02:21
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 16:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	09-15 16:15
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	09-14 22:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	09-15 14:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	4	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 18:02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-18 08:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-14 14:12
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 14:17
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 03:42
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 19:19
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	10-12 18:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 00:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	10-17 19:58
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 07:05
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 15:08
Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	3	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	11-02 13:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 19:44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-16 10:18
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 08:36
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-14 10:27
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 22:22
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 07:31
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	10-16 18:13
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	09-24 05:43
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 10:02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 04:58
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	10-12 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:02:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on november 27 2026	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x016110…
11-03 01:02:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on november 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe8a59a…
11-02 13:06:49	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x5fb26f…
11-02 13:02:49	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x25a0db…
11-02 13:01:39	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x355d5b…
11-02 09:31:27	Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$9	0x8fcd9e…
11-02 09:31:18	Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xed7900…
11-02 03:43:04	Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x4bebdb…
11-02 03:43:01	Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x90b91d…
10-31 03:17:55	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xa08d4d…
10-31 03:17:45	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x88052d…
10-30 02:38:16	Will Cryocells play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x99a14f…
10-30 02:37:54	Will Cryocells play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x25a92a…
10-30 01:15:37	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x00e80e…
10-30 01:15:27	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x832901…
10-29 12:12:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x0f77f0…
10-29 12:12:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xa6d06d…
10-29 03:52:43	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2aaf46…
10-29 03:52:41	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2579d4…
10-28 17:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x70dfda…
10-28 17:19:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9ef92d…
10-28 17:06:26	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x820db2…
10-28 17:06:23	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc0842a…
10-28 13:31:50	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2fb275…
10-28 13:31:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf009ee…
10-27 16:19:02	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xf4e0d1…
10-27 16:19:00	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x17da3a…
10-26 04:08:47	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8aedda…
10-26 04:08:36	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6f0186…
10-25 12:42:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x831e76…
10-25 12:38:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x08bf8a…
10-25 12:37:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0c5f27…
10-24 05:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2eae38…
10-24 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xab97d0…
10-24 05:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4009ac…
10-24 04:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc68211…
10-24 04:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x17fa93…
10-24 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb5a708…
10-24 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xed7170…
10-24 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2724ae…
10-24 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06754c…
10-24 00:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6f4376…
10-24 00:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x800628…
10-23 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x48ff80…
10-23 21:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc82b12…
10-23 20:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a1f3a…
10-23 20:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc87921…
10-23 19:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfcd4ce…
10-23 19:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc55b38…
10-23 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x44953c…
10-23 19:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7709e…
10-23 18:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfb6302…
10-23 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x92e8ae…
10-23 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd64b5a…
10-23 17:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd27405…
10-23 16:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6069fa…
10-23 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc5aaeb…
10-23 16:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcfe0ff…
10-23 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaa8bf7…
10-23 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x88aa10…
10-23 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcef0d3…
10-23 15:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd98105…
10-23 15:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8ce377…
10-23 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x03d041…
10-23 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4e3064…
10-23 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x812290…
10-23 14:54:56	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x3eab4c…
10-23 14:54:29	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe3a334…
10-23 14:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfd28f9…
10-23 14:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5d3c54…
10-23 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd9a483…
10-23 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2dbd1a…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x762ff9…
10-23 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f9bef…
10-23 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8f0b4b…
10-23 13:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x99c468…
10-23 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x413507…
10-23 12:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf96283…
10-23 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2da18b…
10-23 12:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x352399…
10-23 12:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x929832…
10-23 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9b603…
10-23 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x21772c…
10-23 11:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x139a7a…
10-23 11:36:56	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x4d5a0c…
10-23 11:36:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaa3239…
10-23 11:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5d58a0…
10-23 10:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd48972…
10-23 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x76af5f…
10-23 09:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x69a090…
10-23 09:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x447308…
10-23 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd1ead3…
10-23 09:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x99f6c6…
10-23 08:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbd3065…
10-23 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf54019…
10-23 08:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xebd655…
10-23 08:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x375168…
10-23 00:18:15	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x0846f5…
10-23 00:18:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1d2e47…
10-22 17:37:36	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd7217f…