Realized P&L (30d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved (30d)
12
Trades (30d)
13
415 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$56
$1.52K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$78
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-05 20:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
46% 36% -$59
Other
32% 28% -$68
Crypto
13% 33% +$0
Tech
7% 38% +$8
Sports
1% 17% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +20 $10 93¢ $19 +$9 06-01 23:42
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +15 $5 94¢ $14 +$9 10-06 07:08
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 08-26 11:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +14 $5 59¢ $8 +$3 09-22 15:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +15 $4 55¢ $8 +$4 08-26 11:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -9 -$7 64¢ $-6 +$1 10-30 19:10
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? No +8 $2 25¢ $2 $0 11-02 22:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 06-07 21:57
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +7 $2 23¢ $2 $0 06-29 00:11
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 06-01 21:52
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +28 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 06-30 18:01
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +7 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 07-19 06:50
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +6 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-16 22:33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-06 07:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 05-31 06:09
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? No +16 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 11-05 20:06
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-01 21:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-31 06:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-08 19:19