Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
42
414 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$219
$1.51K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$68
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-02 22:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
46% 35% -$60
Other
32% 28% -$63
Crypto
13% 33% +$0
Tech
7% 38% +$8
Sports
1% 17% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +20 $10 90¢ $18 +$8 06-01 23:42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +13 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 08-26 11:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +15 $4 55¢ $8 +$4 08-26 11:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +14 $5 56¢ $8 +$3 09-22 15:11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -9 -$7 79¢ $-7 +$0 10-30 19:10
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 06-01 21:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 06-07 21:57
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +7 $2 23¢ $2 $0 06-29 00:11
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +28 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 06-30 18:01
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +5 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 06-01 21:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +7 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-19 06:50
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +6 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-16 22:33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-06 07:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 05-31 06:09
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-01 21:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +5 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 05-31 06:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-08 19:19
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +20 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-06 07:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +15 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-30 19:11