High-Level-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

864

Trades

2,137

lifetime

Volume

$32.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

76% 61% +$30

Politics

19% 36% -$1

Crypto

4% 80% +$33

Tech

1% 40% +$2

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 25% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	15	$562	1,450	1,450	+0	No	$0	03-02 05:01
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	9	$482	900	1,000	-100	No	+$19	03-05 04:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$462	300	300	+0	Yes	-$4	03-08 08:31
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	12	$453	571	131	+440	Yes	-$191	03-08 07:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-21 22:02
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	11	$389	1,400	969	+431	No	+$2	03-01 02:13
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	4	$377	401	200	+201	No	+$4	03-01 07:06
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	10	$377	400	200	+200	Yes	-$6	03-19 16:23
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	5	$345	178	178	+0	No	$0	02-28 14:52
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$300	160	160	+0	No	+$5	03-03 20:47
will bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of march 2	2	$299	161	161	+0	Yes	+$23	03-09 01:25
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$291	100	200	-100	No	+$5	03-08 06:42
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	2	$268	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	03-04 02:50
khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	8	$247	220	340	-120	No	-$1	03-01 01:54
will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	4	$247	100	150	-50	No	+$2	03-06 04:21
highest temperature in los angeles on march 28 2026 67forbelow	4	$242	150	150	+0	Yes	-$35	03-29 04:00
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	4	$217	194	50	+144	No	+$7	03-08 21:39
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$212	294	90	+204	No	$0	03-09 01:28
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$211	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	03-08 14:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$207	109	109	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 19:15
lol sn ccg 2026 04 03 game2	7	$204	161	61	+100	CCG Esports	-$82	04-04 00:17
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	5	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-24 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 26?	8	$196	148	100	+48	No	-$15	04-26 20:52
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	03-10 16:00
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-21 19:56
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	8	$192	200	100	+100	Yes	+$5	03-06 19:26
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	9	$192	1,172	372	+800	No	+$4	03-04 05:01
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	3	$192	210	0	+210	JD Gaming	+$8	03-20 16:26
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	4	$192	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 20:55
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	3	$190	300	100	+200	Yes	$0	03-05 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 02:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x102fe5…
06-14 01:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xf11e04…
06-14 00:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfe15f4…
06-14 00:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x684b70…
06-14 00:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xa17b04…
06-14 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xbb83d4…
06-14 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xfb9a27…
06-14 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe1c043…
06-14 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x8cbdca…
06-14 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x3d8cd1…
06-14 00:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x25f48b…
06-14 00:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x4a7e8c…
06-14 00:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x3d8d56…
06-14 00:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8f9709…
06-14 00:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x21b701…
06-14 00:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xaa7392…
06-14 00:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8f2716…
05-24 01:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x9f44d7…
05-24 01:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc0bdae…
05-24 00:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 24?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5097d7…
05-24 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 24?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xeea2c7…
05-23 23:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x3ca482…
05-23 23:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3964b2…
05-23 23:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x13c986…
05-23 23:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 24?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x71677c…
05-23 23:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 24?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa5cfc2…
05-23 23:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 24?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x6e6335…
05-23 23:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 24?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x01b141…
05-23 23:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 24?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$13	0x9a2c1f…
05-23 23:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xaa4559…
05-23 23:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 24?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xe4ac8a…
05-14 23:49:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x72e30e…
05-14 23:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x145038…
05-14 23:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcebf65…
05-14 23:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x28eb96…
05-14 23:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xae543a…
05-14 23:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb2a4bc…
05-14 23:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xf79c35…
05-14 23:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5a3881…
05-14 23:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xdebd26…
05-14 23:19:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xdd2d44…
05-14 23:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd11c8f…
05-14 23:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x874355…
05-14 23:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xc4dc75…
05-14 23:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x19e5ea…
05-14 23:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xb1c9a3…
05-14 23:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x93f779…
05-14 23:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa2c79e…
05-14 04:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xf19345…
05-14 04:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xdd1ead…
05-14 04:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xeadee7…
05-14 04:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf829a8…
05-14 03:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3664d0…
05-14 03:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x0e4420…
05-14 03:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x85afc4…
05-14 03:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc9ee30…
05-14 02:14:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x4d9c81…
05-14 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x173110…
05-14 01:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x6d8d66…
05-14 01:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa34009…
05-14 01:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7a8664…
05-14 01:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7bc6eb…
05-14 01:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x90e50b…
05-14 01:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd3f68a…
05-14 00:58:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x26e274…
05-14 00:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3f1027…
05-14 00:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x06405d…
05-14 00:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x8cd2f1…
05-14 00:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbe8e33…
05-14 00:46:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x8f810d…
05-11 00:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf99ed4…
05-11 00:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf81791…
05-11 00:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x3446cf…
05-11 00:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x624b5e…
05-10 19:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7172dc…
05-10 17:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcb1974…
05-10 16:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 10?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6d63b5…
05-10 15:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 10?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x481311…
05-10 15:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 10?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc1bb64…
05-10 15:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 10?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xb8e077…
05-10 14:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 10?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4aba81…
05-10 14:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0xd06421…
05-10 14:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xde7649…
05-10 14:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc0ab8a…
05-10 14:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 10?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe7f0c3…
05-10 04:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x32098b…
05-10 04:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 10?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xf2131d…
05-10 03:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x590b11…
05-10 03:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xf65e32…
05-10 03:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 10?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0xf6a749…
05-10 03:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7ac823…
05-10 03:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x17bb3a…
05-10 03:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xbce44b…
05-10 03:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdfa8af…
05-10 03:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd6f204…
05-10 00:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 10?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x7eae99…
05-10 00:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x8a1fad…
05-10 00:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 10?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x121436…
05-10 00:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 10?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x4376d2…
05-10 00:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 10?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x1b1eda…