Realized P&L
-$299
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
19
Trades
768
lifetime
Volume
$54.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$48.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
49% — —
Sports
38% 53% -$299
Other
13% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +8,019 $6,974 86¢ $6.9K -$38 10-19 11:08
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +6,341 $6,009 93¢ $5.9K -$128 10-19 20:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6,082 $5,850 96¢ $5.8K -$14 10-17 14:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,787 $4,153 87¢ $4.2K +$9 10-26 06:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,127 $3,858 94¢ $3.9K +$42 10-18 13:44
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,876 $3,750 96¢ $3.7K -$27 10-18 16:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,650 $2,230 84¢ $2.2K -$18 10-27 12:44
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,691 $1,593 96¢ $1.6K +$33 10-27 07:25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,912 $1,593 82¢ $1.6K -$35 10-26 21:00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,276 $1,235 96¢ $1.2K -$6 10-26 18:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,135 $1,105 98¢ $1.1K +$8 10-26 18:54
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,019 $1,079 14¢ $1.1K +$3 10-17 18:27
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,056 $1,032 97¢ $1.0K -$5 10-08 14:43
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +837 $823 97¢ $815 -$8 10-21 17:40
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +732 $704 96¢ $700 -$4 10-18 17:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +730 $693 95¢ $694 +$1 09-28 02:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,764 $651 13¢ $622 -$29 10-26 19:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +659 $620 94¢ $616 -$3 10-10 05:39
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +697 $608 86¢ $596 -$13 10-17 12:52
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +6,341 $364 7¢ $460 +$96 10-18 23:45
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +472 $456 97¢ $458 +$2 10-21 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $418 83¢ $415 -$3 10-21 19:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,405 $389 16¢ $397 +$8 10-27 00:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,060 $357 18¢ $381 +$24 10-27 12:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +393 $380 97¢ $380 +$0 10-20 00:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +363 $349 92¢ $335 -$14 09-28 01:18
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,082 $236 4¢ $246 +$11 10-14 10:32
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +275 $245 88¢ $244 -$1 10-22 02:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +4,127 $266 6¢ $227 -$39 10-20 08:51
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,876 $150 4¢ $153 +$4 10-20 01:35