Troubled-Tussle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,300 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$32.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-26 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

52% 20% -$1,000

Politics

19% 21% -$274

Crypto

17% 39% -$44

Sports

10% 43% -$105

Tech

1% 40% +$22

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$12	94¢	$19	+$7	05-12 08:45
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$7	6¢	$1	-$6	05-12 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$2.2K	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	-$2	02-09 02:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$1.8K	896	896	+0	No	-$1	02-09 02:03
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	No	-$1	02-09 02:08
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	7	$1.3K	1,579	1,579	+0	Rockets	-$85	04-08 03:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	6	$829	614	614	+0	Down	-$8	03-09 11:28
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	34	$811	534	534	+0	No	+$5	02-12 13:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 07:30 UTC	4	$602	324	323	+1	Up	+$17	03-09 07:40
another us government shutdown by february 14	22	$583	984	984	+0	No	-$63	02-13 14:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	16	$480	420	330	+90	No	+$15	03-23 13:43
will less than 5000 us flights be delayed on march 24	15	$453	566	647	-81	Yes	-$357	03-25 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC	21	$434	422	420	+2	Up	-$59	03-19 14:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$429	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-15 12:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$413	400	400	+0	Yes	-$6	03-07 03:05
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	4	$406	400	400	+0	No	-$2	03-09 02:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	3	$366	184	184	+0	No	$0	02-08 12:56
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	02-08 13:05
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	02-09 02:04
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	3	$360	181	181	+0	No	$0	02-09 02:04
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$360	264	264	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 14:15 UTC	5	$342	238	235	+3	Down	+$35	03-19 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 12:30 UTC	7	$334	230	230	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 12:41
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	2	$328	304	304	+0	Down	-$24	02-09 10:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$316	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 05:10
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	2	$286	200	200	+0	No	-$2	02-09 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 07:45 UTC	4	$265	167	166	+1	Up	+$16	03-09 07:56
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$256	305	305	+0	Yes	+$2	03-30 03:57
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	13	$249	300	300	+0	Yes	+$17	03-12 04:23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	7	$247	200	200	+0	Up	+$13	05-04 20:06
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	4	$184	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-12 00:37
will the number of us flights delayed on march 30 be between 5000 and 5500	5	$183	100	100	+0	Yes	+$13	03-31 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 03:49:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xa6b42f…
05-26 03:43:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xfbfdce…
05-25 12:45:04	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A	SPARTA	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0b8ffd…
05-25 10:54:37	LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xec92c5…
05-25 10:45:43	Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	Lazer Cats	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8c4541…
05-25 10:41:45	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe425ad…
05-21 14:33:25	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xf6fc5f…
05-21 14:30:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xff4f53…
05-21 14:04:45	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x28d4ad…
05-21 14:01:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xad748d…
05-21 14:00:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x619f2c…
05-21 14:00:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd09b90…
05-21 14:00:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x85ada0…
05-21 14:00:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x207502…
05-21 06:45:09	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x729bb4…
05-17 04:06:33	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xcbb39c…
05-17 04:06:25	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x47db41…
05-15 12:06:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$71	0xf01be7…
05-15 12:06:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$72	0x4e73e2…
05-15 12:06:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$71	0x933091…
05-15 12:06:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$72	0x28ff0f…
05-15 12:06:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$71	0x41debf…
05-15 12:05:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$72	0xdadd2c…
05-14 06:35:47	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	BNK FearX Youth	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x560b80…
05-14 03:09:08	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xcd9e62…
05-14 02:46:34	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0415e9…
05-14 02:45:52	Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x25045c…
05-14 02:45:38	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x64148f…
05-14 02:43:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5a57b…
05-14 02:43:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x2b9f10…
05-14 02:43:00	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xc45b32…
05-14 02:41:54	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3527db…
05-14 02:41:33	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x57b517…
05-13 13:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x5d9a70…
05-13 09:57:43	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x0d60b4…
05-13 09:55:04	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x1c1a6e…
05-13 09:34:11	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x766625…
05-13 05:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf26e59…
05-13 05:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7191de…
05-13 04:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6a4e9c…
05-13 04:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x1710b5…
05-13 04:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xbfff88…
05-13 04:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1656a8…
05-13 04:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x9fcd0a…
05-13 04:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x3af657…
05-13 02:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x62a2f4…
05-13 02:24:28	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x93079b…
05-13 01:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6cb586…
05-13 01:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7afe3c…
05-13 01:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xf7a593…
05-13 01:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x62ef9b…
05-13 01:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7f4af2…
05-13 01:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d31a5…
05-13 01:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x435f4f…
05-13 01:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xbaa754…
05-13 01:24:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x98593f…
05-13 01:17:35	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd82d1a…
05-13 01:17:14	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8efa0a…
05-13 01:16:53	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x7d6224…
05-12 20:08:43	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb0ccea…
05-12 14:49:24	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x11dad9…
05-12 14:18:09	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0xbf396b…
05-12 12:56:35	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xe174b2…
05-12 12:52:03	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2811a2…
05-12 12:20:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x10b349…
05-12 11:57:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x5cd1bc…
05-12 11:57:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x6b66ec…
05-12 11:56:51	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9f2391…
05-12 11:56:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x33396a…
05-12 10:33:55	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x5b2a7d…
05-12 09:36:33	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6334ae…
05-12 08:49:39	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5ef426…
05-12 08:45:08	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x682747…
05-12 07:09:30	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0d4118…
05-12 07:03:55	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x23c015…
05-12 07:02:52	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1d60fd…
05-12 06:57:27	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3b7b40…
05-12 06:55:47	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xae13b6…
05-12 06:54:42	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa76580…
05-12 06:20:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7262fd…
05-12 06:11:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0xf6d84e…
05-12 06:10:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x346a46…
05-12 06:03:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xfd97cc…
05-12 06:02:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x04a43e…
05-12 05:56:45	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x26985a…
05-12 05:53:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x85a9b7…
05-12 05:47:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x4df9cb…
05-12 05:41:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe769e9…
05-12 05:40:25	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc85dd6…
05-12 05:40:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd7f38b…
05-12 04:01:34	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x298069…
05-12 04:01:29	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xaf79af…
05-12 04:01:24	Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x262475…
05-12 04:01:17	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xee18db…
05-04 20:06:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x1bb69d…
05-04 20:06:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb7228b…
05-04 20:04:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaed98e…
05-04 16:10:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd7b54f…
05-04 09:04:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xc7a944…
05-04 09:02:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xc9001a…