Ornery-Trailer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$276

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-08 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

56% 31% -$3

Politics

23% 75% +$0

Sports

16% 29% -$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will England win on 2026-11-15?	No		+1	$1	80¢	$1	$0	11-08 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 8?	Yes		+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 11:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	11	$25	24	22	+2	Yes	+$1	05-02 11:50
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$13	7	7	+0	$80k	+$1	05-04 02:15
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	3	$12	12	12	+0	cancelled	+$0	06-02 13:09
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	2	$7	14	0	+14	cancelled	+$0	05-02 14:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-13 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 7?	2	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	11-07 15:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-13 02:41
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	5	$6	7	7	+0	No	$0	06-06 17:19
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-01 00:51
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	4	$4	4	4	+0	cancelled	$0	05-02 23:47
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 06:22
Spread: Devils (-1.5)	2	$3	2	2	+0	Blues	+$1	11-06 02:15
Magic vs. Suns	3	$3	4	2	+2	Suns	+$1	11-06 02:14
Wyoming vs. UNLV	2	$3	2	2	+0	Wyoming	+$1	11-08 05:34
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	4	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	11-05 02:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$3	7	1	+6	No	-$1	05-08 05:00
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	2	$3	2	2	+0	BetBoom Team	+$1	11-06 13:21
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 16:13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-15 05:35
Sydney Kings vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	2	$2	1	1	+0	Sydney Kings	+$0	11-08 05:34
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	2	$2	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 00:54
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	111	111	+0	No	+$0	05-04 00:59
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 16:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-29 16:12
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	2	$2	3	3	+0	Under	+$0	11-08 05:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-01 03:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 07:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-03 10:04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-11 11:28
Raptors vs. Pistons	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	11-08 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:43:34	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xda47b3…
11-08 15:43:40	Raptors vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcd05b4…
11-08 12:57:52	Will Gibraltar win on 2026-11-16?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd0bc07…
11-08 11:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb22ac8…
11-08 11:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0xb6163a…
11-08 11:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa36390…
11-08 05:52:31	Will England win on 2026-11-15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x388030…
11-08 05:34:54	Warriors vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xcbd3fb…
11-08 05:34:52	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x8cb0b6…
11-08 05:34:51	Avalanche vs. Canadiens	Avalanche	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x78fb82…
11-08 05:34:49	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-14?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xc519a7…
11-08 05:34:48	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xb5fa0a…
11-08 05:34:46	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x26567b…
11-08 05:34:45	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x06da19…
11-08 05:34:43	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x3ce85d…
11-08 05:34:42	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa068ef…
11-08 05:34:40	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xbf58af…
11-08 05:34:39	Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xe06a14…
11-08 05:34:37	Club Brugge vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x9fd6b5…
11-08 05:34:36	Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x4c7837…
11-08 05:34:34	Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7ec4f4…
11-08 05:34:33	Cowboys vs. Colts	Cowboys	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8038ec…
11-08 05:34:31	Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x9f425a…
11-08 05:34:30	Will SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x74b519…
11-08 05:34:28	Aarhus GF vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6ab698…
11-08 05:34:27	Legia Warszawa vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x474935…
11-08 05:34:25	FK Jablonec vs. FK Mladá Boleslav: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x1f39a2…
11-08 05:34:24	Debreceni VSC vs. Ujpest FC Budapest: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x284465…
11-08 05:34:22	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc3093d…
11-08 05:34:22	Asteras Tripolis vs. PAE PS Kalamata: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x72ab3e…
11-08 05:34:21	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x008f2d…
11-08 05:34:19	Sydney Kings vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	Sydney Kings	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd27f37…
11-08 05:34:04	Wyoming vs. UNLV	Wyoming	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xa10d4b…
11-08 05:32:27	Avalanche vs. Canadiens	Avalanche	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8fdac0…
11-08 04:55:43	Will SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x34c6c7…
11-08 04:54:12	Legia Warszawa vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x98b2f6…
11-08 04:52:07	Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8bf935…
11-08 04:52:03	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5b6917…
11-08 03:56:21	Warriors vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7d1c1f…
11-08 03:43:28	Aarhus GF vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1b6b8b…
11-08 03:41:07	FK Jablonec vs. FK Mladá Boleslav: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdfaa93…
11-08 03:31:19	Asteras Tripolis vs. PAE PS Kalamata: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0d555e…
11-08 03:21:48	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb2a999…
11-08 03:21:45	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x54e62a…
11-08 03:21:42	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc09c5f…
11-08 03:21:40	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xac2bf0…
11-08 03:12:43	Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa9f696…
11-08 03:05:15	Debreceni VSC vs. Ujpest FC Budapest: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x15ce4f…
11-08 03:00:18	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe83d1e…
11-08 02:59:40	Wyoming vs. UNLV	Wyoming	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x861b5b…
11-08 02:53:51	Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf7873a…
11-08 02:50:01	Club Brugge vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8f96dc…
11-08 02:45:40	Cowboys vs. Colts	Cowboys	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdc284d…
11-08 02:42:45	Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf1b602…
11-08 02:40:58	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2224c2…
11-08 02:38:19	Sydney Kings vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	Sydney Kings	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x44e984…
11-07 20:38:42	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-14?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf15be3…
11-07 19:27:40	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x962c38…
11-07 16:14:43	Spread: Liberty (-15.5)	Liberty	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32827c…
11-07 16:01:07	Libertad Loja vs. CS Emelec: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x011bbb…
11-07 15:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x9337c9…
11-07 14:09:00	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa5f3e3…
11-07 13:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x58314e…
11-07 11:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x43ed34…
11-07 10:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x541320…
11-07 09:16:33	Red Wings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x40ac7b…
11-07 09:14:18	Spread: San Jose State (-10.5)	Northern Illinois	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0abb80…
11-07 02:56:19	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf86c60…
11-07 02:56:16	Walsall FC vs. Barnet FC: Barnet FC O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcc1029…
11-07 02:56:16	Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa5598a…
11-07 02:56:13	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xc3971c…
11-07 02:56:13	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4a5949…
11-07 02:56:13	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3f5569…
11-07 02:56:10	SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9502d1…
11-07 02:56:09	Walsall FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x20584b…
11-06 13:21:36	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc35d1c…
11-06 12:22:13	Walsall FC vs. Barnet FC: Barnet FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x867fa0…
11-06 11:43:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3d03b9…
11-06 10:15:07	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd2a383…
11-06 09:19:15	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0289dc…
11-06 08:52:40	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe7548b…
11-06 08:47:49	Walsall FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1da7da…
11-06 07:43:09	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6eec45…
11-06 06:28:34	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3d7ac4…
11-06 06:18:21	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x50bde8…
11-06 02:43:51	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x28ade0…
11-06 02:15:43	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Devils	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x38aa2a…
11-06 02:14:27	Magic vs. Suns	Magic	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe7d240…
11-06 02:13:31	Magic vs. Suns	Magic	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0d459e…
11-06 01:38:57	Magic vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bea16…
11-06 01:11:39	Heat vs. Warriors	Heat	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90adee…
11-05 23:51:09	Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)	RC Strasbourg Alsace	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe2d3a6…
11-05 23:41:07	Exact Score: Toulouse FC 0 - 1 RC Strasbourg Alsace?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xee86b4…
11-05 22:21:21	SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ed9e8…
11-05 20:09:27	Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner	megoshort	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2f16fe…
11-05 19:01:25	Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb978e7…
11-05 17:46:24	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x157b96…
11-05 17:26:25	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd7e84b…
11-05 17:26:15	Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x37de88…
11-05 17:21:36	Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb24fc8…