Realized P&L
-$555
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
523
Trades
1,597
lifetime
Volume
$93.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$2.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 10-31 02:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
62% 63% +$74
Politics
21% 64% -$193
Crypto
10% 67% +$48
Tech
3% 43% -$213
Sports
3% 42% -$270
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +183 $158 90¢ $164 +$6 08-03 02:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +188 $151 84¢ $159 +$8 10-27 08:25
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +174 $129 81¢ $141 +$12 10-27 04:54
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +225 $149 61¢ $137 -$11 10-27 08:25
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +198 $143 68¢ $134 -$9 10-27 03:42
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +178 $128 68¢ $122 -$6 10-27 07:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +178 $128 66¢ $118 -$9 10-27 04:54
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +171 $134 68¢ $117 -$17 10-27 07:09
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +141 $108 82¢ $115 +$7 09-27 10:33
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +187 $120 60¢ $112 -$9 10-27 00:06
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +153 $110 64¢ $98 -$12 10-12 11:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +146 $82 67¢ $97 +$15 10-04 01:17
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +116 $71 80¢ $93 +$22 10-04 08:56
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +138 $101 59¢ $81 -$20 10-27 04:54
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +88 $70 82¢ $73 +$3 10-01 07:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +134 $71 54¢ $73 +$1 10-27 00:06
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +138 $93 51¢ $71 -$22 10-26 21:06
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +116 $79 60¢ $69 -$10 10-27 07:03
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +56 $42 84¢ $47 +$5 10-03 04:56
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +119 $45 38¢ $46 +$1 10-27 02:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +38 $24 82¢ $32 +$7 10-01 03:39
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +28 $25 89¢ $25 +$0 10-29 22:23
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +45 $33 52¢ $24 -$10 10-27 08:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +31 $15 60¢ $19 +$4 10-18 19:25
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +26 $11 57¢ $15 +$3 10-28 20:01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +18 $12 66¢ $12 $0 10-31 02:12
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 71¢ $12 -$1 10-29 11:35
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +11 $9 84¢ $9 +$0 10-27 13:30
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +20 $7 37¢ $7 $0 10-31 01:04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 10-27 11:44