AlexLiu 0x6cd517…87f2cf
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$674
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
257
4,352 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.3K
$1.07M lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$8.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
51% 79% -$1,559
Politics
33% 82% -$3,723
Sports
14% 65% +$3,100
Crypto
2% 49% -$549
Tech
0% 67% -$202
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +800 $693 98¢ $788 +$95 10-23 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +650 $605 98¢ $638 +$33 10-26 16:02
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +800 $545 70¢ $564 +$19 10-22 02:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +500 $452 95¢ $477 +$25 10-20 14:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +449 $307 96¢ $432 +$125 05-17 13:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +502 $403 84¢ $419 +$16 10-24 22:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +400 $345 97¢ $388 +$43 10-21 23:39
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +400 $359 96¢ $384 +$25 10-25 17:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $298 72¢ $290 -$8 10-27 00:23
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +300 $284 96¢ $289 +$5 10-22 06:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $219 92¢ $278 +$58 10-23 21:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 10-23 18:21
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +300 $274 90¢ $272 -$2 10-20 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $273 90¢ $271 -$1 10-26 01:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +250 $155 100¢ $250 +$95 10-21 19:52
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +330 $192 65¢ $216 +$24 10-19 21:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 06-12 11:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +200 $158 96¢ $192 +$34 10-23 21:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +200 $173 94¢ $188 +$15 10-20 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $185 +$5 10-20 20:39
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +200 $140 72¢ $145 +$5 10-21 20:22
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +212 $123 66¢ $141 +$18 10-21 07:00
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +300 $137 46¢ $138 +$1 10-22 17:37
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +170 $117 68¢ $116 $0 10-23 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -119 -$100 96¢ $-114 -$14 05-08 23:15
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $105 67¢ $100 -$5 10-21 09:50
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +100 $67 96¢ $95 +$28 08-04 18:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 10-20 04:44
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +100 $70 82¢ $82 +$12 08-09 02:47
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +120 $72 64¢ $77 +$5 10-19 17:46