AlexLiu 0x6cd517…87f2cf
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$684
Hit rate
37.2%
Resolved (30d)
15
Trades (30d)
207
4,382 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.3K
$1.08M lifetime
Avg / trade
$245
Open exposure
$8.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 16:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
51% 79% -$1,535
Politics
33% 82% -$3,628
Sports
14% 65% +$3,100
Crypto
2% 49% -$549
Tech
0% 67% -$202
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +800 $693 98¢ $788 +$95 10-23 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +650 $605 99¢ $641 +$36 10-26 16:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +500 $452 98¢ $488 +$36 10-20 14:26
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +800 $545 56¢ $444 -$101 10-22 02:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +502 $403 86¢ $434 +$31 10-24 22:32
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +449 $307 96¢ $432 +$125 05-17 13:13
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +400 $359 99¢ $395 +$36 10-25 17:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +400 $345 98¢ $390 +$45 10-21 23:39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $298 84¢ $334 +$36 10-27 00:23
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +300 $284 97¢ $291 +$7 10-22 06:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $219 94¢ $282 +$63 10-23 21:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 94¢ $280 +$4 10-23 18:21
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +300 $274 92¢ $274 +$0 10-20 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $273 90¢ $270 -$3 10-26 01:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +300 $211 78¢ $235 +$24 10-29 17:54
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +330 $192 68¢ $224 +$33 10-19 21:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +200 $158 100¢ $199 +$41 10-23 21:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 06-12 11:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +200 $173 94¢ $189 +$15 10-20 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$7 10-20 20:39
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +275 $159 66¢ $181 +$23 10-30 16:49
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +250 $170 70¢ $174 +$3 10-27 10:39
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +300 $137 55¢ $165 +$28 10-22 17:37
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +200 $152 76¢ $151 -$1 10-30 19:04
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $105 100¢ $150 +$45 10-21 09:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -119 -$100 97¢ $-115 -$15 05-08 23:15
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +100 $67 95¢ $95 +$28 08-04 18:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +120 $72 68¢ $82 +$10 10-19 17:46
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 08-09 02:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $50 30¢ $61 +$11 10-24 18:28