Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$806
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved (7d)
14
Trades (7d)
95
4,379 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.62K
$1.08M lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$8.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
51% 79% -$1,535
Politics
33% 82% -$3,628
Sports
14% 65% +$3,100
Crypto
2% 49% -$549
Tech
0% 67% -$202
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +800 $693 99¢ $792 +$99 10-23 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +650 $605 98¢ $639 +$34 10-26 16:02
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +800 $545 66¢ $524 -$21 10-22 02:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +500 $452 97¢ $484 +$32 10-20 14:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +449 $307 96¢ $432 +$126 05-17 13:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +502 $403 84¢ $424 +$21 10-24 22:32
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +400 $359 99¢ $395 +$36 10-25 17:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +400 $345 98¢ $392 +$47 10-21 23:39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $298 86¢ $346 +$48 10-27 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $219 97¢ $291 +$72 10-23 21:22
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +300 $284 96¢ $289 +$5 10-22 06:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 94¢ $280 +$4 10-23 18:21
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +300 $274 92¢ $278 +$4 10-20 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $273 90¢ $271 -$1 10-26 01:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +330 $192 71¢ $235 +$43 10-19 21:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +200 $158 100¢ $200 +$42 10-23 21:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 06-12 11:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +200 $173 94¢ $188 +$15 10-20 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 10-20 20:39
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +250 $170 70¢ $174 +$3 10-27 10:39
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +300 $137 52¢ $158 +$20 10-22 17:37
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $105 100¢ $149 +$45 10-21 09:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +212 $123 68¢ $143 +$20 10-21 07:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -119 -$100 96¢ $-114 -$14 05-08 23:15
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +100 $67 97¢ $97 +$30 08-04 18:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +120 $72 70¢ $85 +$13 10-19 17:46
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +100 $70 82¢ $82 +$12 08-09 02:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $75 78¢ $78 +$2 10-26 02:20
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +60 $12 98¢ $59 +$47 10-20 22:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $50 29¢ $58 +$8 10-24 18:28