AlexLiu 0x6cd517…87f2cf
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$273
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
586
Trades
4,504
lifetime
Volume
$1.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$7.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
51% 80% -$1,253
Politics
33% 82% -$3,605
Sports
14% 65% +$3,100
Crypto
2% 49% -$549
Tech
0% 67% -$202
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +650 $605 99¢ $643 +$39 10-26 16:02
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +800 $545 64¢ $508 -$37 10-22 02:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +502 $403 88¢ $439 +$36 10-24 22:32
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +449 $307 96¢ $431 +$125 05-17 13:13
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $419 86¢ $428 +$8 10-31 21:06
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +600 $452 68¢ $411 -$41 11-01 20:21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $298 84¢ $338 +$40 10-27 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $219 99¢ $297 +$78 10-23 21:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +300 $269 98¢ $293 +$24 10-30 21:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 94¢ $284 +$8 10-23 18:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +300 $261 92¢ $274 +$14 11-01 16:13
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +300 $274 92¢ $274 +$0 10-20 22:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $273 88¢ $262 -$10 10-26 01:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +300 $211 74¢ $223 +$12 10-29 17:54
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +330 $192 66¢ $219 +$28 10-19 21:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +550 $401 37¢ $204 -$197 10-26 20:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 06-12 11:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +200 $173 97¢ $195 +$22 10-20 14:30
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +250 $170 76¢ $189 +$18 10-27 10:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$7 10-20 20:39
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +275 $159 68¢ $187 +$28 10-30 16:49
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +300 $137 52¢ $158 +$20 10-22 17:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -119 -$100 97¢ $-115 -$15 05-08 23:15
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +100 $67 94¢ $94 +$27 08-04 18:52
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +100 $70 82¢ $82 +$12 08-09 02:47
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +120 $72 66¢ $80 +$8 10-19 17:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $50 28¢ $55 +$5 10-24 18:28
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +50 $44 97¢ $49 +$4 08-08 22:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +200 $48 22¢ $45 -$3 10-30 11:23
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +30 $27 97¢ $29 +$2 10-19 20:42