Fond-Burnout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$283

Unrealized P&L

+$1.94K

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

$6.52K

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 09-23 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

62% 76% +$284

Crypto

34% 75% +$7

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6,306	$3,940	94¢	$5.9K	+$1,957	09-23 11:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+796	$500	60¢	$480	-$20	09-07 11:21
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+114	$100	87¢	$99	-$1	09-07 11:20
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	09-07 11:20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	$0	09-07 11:20
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	09-07 11:20
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	09-07 11:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$8.3K	5,027	5,027	+0	Yes	+$201	09-16 17:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.9K	6,306	0	+6,306	open	—	09-23 11:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$500	796	0	+796	open	—	09-07 11:21
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$467	527	0	+527	Yes	+$61	05-10 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	4	$281	252	252	+0	Up	+$21	08-27 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	4	$273	251	251	+0	Up	+$13	08-25 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:55 UTC	3	$218	126	126	+0	Up	+$8	08-25 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:35 UTC	2	$105	271	0	+271	Down	-$105	08-25 05:38
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	1	$100	195	0	+195	Yes	+$95	08-25 05:47
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	05-07 08:26
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	09-07 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:05 UTC	1	$25	104	0	+104	Down	-$25	08-27 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	08-27 07:02
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	08-25 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	08-25 05:25
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	08-25 05:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	08-25 05:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	08-25 05:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	08-25 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 18:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	05-09 14:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-09 14:20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	38	0	+38	No	-$10	05-07 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 26?	1	$10	59	0	+59	No	-$10	08-25 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 25?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	08-25 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	1	$10	27	0	+27	Yes	+$17	08-25 07:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	-$10	05-07 08:43
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-09 14:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-09 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 11:19:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,306	62¢	$3,940	0x510220…
09-16 17:44:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,027	85¢	$4,273	0x5dec17…
09-11 14:04:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,780	81¢	$3,872	0xd238b2…
09-11 13:27:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x7c1abd…
09-11 13:26:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc1ea2f…
09-07 11:21:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	796	63¢	$500	0xbd9eca…
09-07 11:20:52	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb355a5…
09-07 11:20:43	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x339c72…
09-07 11:20:33	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x38c752…
09-07 11:20:24	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x416d22…
09-07 11:20:15	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe9c87a…
08-27 07:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x10972e…
08-27 07:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x24ecec…
08-27 06:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	252	60¢	$151	0xa0d524…
08-27 06:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xe424ff…
08-27 06:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x604ddb…
08-27 06:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x73d516…
08-25 07:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xedb7d7…
08-25 07:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa6916e…
08-25 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4477bf…
08-25 06:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:55 UTC	Down	SELL	126	89¢	$113	0x15fa73…
08-25 06:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x28f2b8…
08-25 06:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfb6d73…
08-25 05:47:22	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x3e015b…
08-25 05:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xed932d…
08-25 05:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xde0300…
08-25 05:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	251	57¢	$143	0x08d9b5…
08-25 05:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf4106e…
08-25 05:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x575861…
08-25 05:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xd4c564…
08-25 05:26:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0xf2f608…
08-25 05:26:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x319f25…
08-25 05:26:21	Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x0d0675…
08-25 05:26:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x226594…
08-25 05:26:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5348b6…
08-25 05:25:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xe01436…
05-12 18:36:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x642239…
05-12 18:36:54	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5f6274…
05-12 18:36:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x678d8d…
05-12 18:35:54	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc21c17…
05-12 18:35:37	Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd0cd03…
05-12 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x8b118e…
05-12 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x242d14…
05-12 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe87fec…
05-12 18:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x66135a…
05-12 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x236433…
05-12 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x999cab…
05-12 18:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x664cf4…
05-10 18:53:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f6eba…
05-10 18:51:18	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xb3ceef…
05-09 14:32:24	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb3b3f1…
05-09 14:31:59	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x325dce…
05-09 14:31:19	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1a8431…
05-09 14:30:37	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x667afe…
05-09 14:29:27	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd49677…
05-09 14:23:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc6ac38…
05-09 14:23:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb397df…
05-09 14:22:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x437996…
05-09 14:20:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x87473f…
05-09 14:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x157dfc…
05-09 14:16:25	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	318	87¢	$275	0x93148d…
05-07 08:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa2aafa…
05-07 08:44:48	Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x557959…
05-07 08:44:22	Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x649947…
05-07 08:44:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x149434…
05-07 08:43:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcb04e1…
05-07 08:41:56	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x08b6dc…
05-07 08:40:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaf04de…
05-07 08:26:59	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xfa6e62…