(anonymous) 0x6db0ac…91f6d9
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Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
239
lifetime
Volume
$275
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$38
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-09 16:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
49% 67% +$0
Other
28% — —
Crypto
20% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -22 $-9 38¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 09:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $6 66¢ $6 $-0 06-08 22:42
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 10:06
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -9 $-2 22¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 09:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3 $-2 60¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 10:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 74¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 10:06
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 100¢ $-2 $-1 06-07 10:04
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -3 $-1 56¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 10:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:06
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 54¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:04
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -11 $-1 8¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 09:49
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 29¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 31¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:03
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:02
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 19¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -2 $-0 32¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2 $-1 24¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 10:03
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 10:01
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 24¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 10:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 09:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 10:01
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 10:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-0 4¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 10:00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes -5 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 10:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 34¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 22:41