Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
240
lifetime
Volume
$275
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-13 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
49% 67% +$0
Other
28%
Crypto
20%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -22 $-9 34¢ $-7 +$1 06-07 09:47
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 90¢ $-2 $-2 06-07 10:05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3 $-2 66¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 10:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 70¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 10:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 30¢ $-1 $-1 06-07 10:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -3 $-1 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:03
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:02
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 24¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:03
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 36¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:04
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -2 $-0 34¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 10:04
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 10:03
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 23¢ $-0 $-0 06-07 10:04
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-07 10:01
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No -2 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 07-13 10:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-07 10:03