Shabby-Concern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

209

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$502

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-03 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

55% 1% -$2

Politics

28% 0% -$1

Crypto

8% 0% $0

Tech

5% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-01 01:01
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 00:56
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-06 00:14
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-13 00:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-26 00:48
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-10 00:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 00:59
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 03:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 09:56
bitcoin above 56k on april 3	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 01:46
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 00:47
bitcoin above 58k on april 6	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-04 00:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 09:41
Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-15 00:48
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-24 09:41
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 00:25
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 01:32
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-18 00:21
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 00:36
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 00:47
will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-18 00:13
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-09 09:18
nflx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$0	02-11 01:07
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 01:02
hood up or down on february 19 2026	3	$2	3	2	+0	Up	$0	02-19 05:57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	06-25 00:42
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-25 01:34
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	06-27 00:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-24 00:45
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 00:35:00	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x86fd90…
08-03 00:34:30	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x122dd3…
08-03 00:22:06	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f3c63…
08-03 00:15:50	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54914e…
07-31 00:43:48	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcda30e…
07-31 00:43:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8088e8…
07-31 00:33:15	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2503c2…
07-31 00:14:05	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf3dd3…
07-30 01:03:56	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa175ec…
07-30 01:03:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfb0184…
07-30 00:46:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x882263…
07-30 00:39:32	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3e2c73…
07-29 07:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeb835f…
07-29 07:43:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb03fc5…
07-29 07:35:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb469e3…
07-29 07:32:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x443b7a…
07-28 01:28:54	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd83bbd…
07-28 01:28:30	Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4bd86d…
07-28 01:15:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x23aaeb…
07-28 01:08:06	Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41a039…
07-27 00:40:28	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe90b25…
07-27 00:40:07	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x259538…
07-27 00:17:49	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4d94b…
07-27 00:09:28	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1258a2…
07-25 00:52:27	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x58edee…
07-25 00:52:12	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdafad2…
07-25 00:45:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf04594…
07-25 00:36:16	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bc609…
07-24 09:43:25	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc45509…
07-24 09:43:12	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x902f5f…
07-24 09:33:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 23 2026 20260722224646692	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9912b5…
07-24 09:31:28	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e1e2b…
07-23 00:56:15	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x342302…
07-23 00:55:58	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc67c5e…
07-23 00:49:31	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e0bf2…
07-23 00:43:46	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78ee22…
07-22 00:57:39	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe4f5ce…
07-22 00:57:22	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x622c84…
07-22 00:41:28	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6804d…
07-22 00:39:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3092d6…
07-21 09:52:04	over 250k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129594	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8771e4…
07-21 09:51:48	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa2035e…
07-21 09:39:27	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x171e5e…
07-21 09:35:43	Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8b35f…
07-20 00:57:39	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x96766b…
07-20 00:57:19	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b0769…
07-20 00:43:45	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad4b43…
07-20 00:33:09	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x678d9f…
07-18 01:02:57	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02382c…
07-18 01:00:52	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x096e55…
07-18 00:52:30	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04eba0…
07-18 00:50:01	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44043a…
07-17 09:38:36	Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe98a3e…
07-17 09:38:13	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c4f1d…
07-17 09:30:21	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a2307…
07-17 09:27:19	Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x174a34…
07-16 00:30:20	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x161de2…
07-16 00:29:56	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x874efd…
07-16 00:06:28	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 17 2026 20260714210303207	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfcd9e6…
07-16 00:04:55	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa79949…
07-15 00:44:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0a1577…
07-15 00:44:05	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x58980c…
07-15 00:34:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdeb3a4…
07-15 00:27:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8115b…
07-14 06:59:38	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b4417…
07-14 06:59:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5846bb…
07-14 06:51:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x81a93f…
07-14 06:48:28	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x298a71…
07-13 00:29:01	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3a023…
07-13 00:28:47	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf9d6e3…
07-13 00:06:32	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a3499…
07-13 00:02:17	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc2af3…
07-11 07:02:22	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6d8e6b…
07-11 07:01:17	Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x553a4f…
07-11 06:50:47	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x748da4…
07-11 06:48:11	Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe0a22f…
07-10 00:16:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2671ef…
07-10 00:16:20	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x270982…
07-09 23:58:46	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd52b3…
07-09 23:57:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47dd90…
07-09 09:18:40	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x33129b…
07-09 09:18:20	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1478ba…
07-09 09:10:35	Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x180624…
07-09 09:08:11	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x596bee…
07-08 00:25:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdffac3…
07-08 00:25:01	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca4e8f…
07-08 00:11:10	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13bd90…
07-08 00:05:52	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602345…
07-07 10:03:20	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 85 and 90?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5db453…
07-07 10:03:04	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d87a3…
07-07 09:51:52	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 85 and 90?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x518077…
07-07 09:48:58	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfafd70…
07-06 00:14:52	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926977	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b55ac…
07-06 00:14:34	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x24244b…
07-06 00:06:58	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a6bd8…
07-06 00:02:37	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e7 s9 20260630142926977	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4731a3…
07-04 00:17:55	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2f8b56…
07-04 00:17:41	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb8d593…
07-04 00:06:41	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x019a2d…
07-04 00:02:41	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfcb9b5…