Realized P&L (30d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
19
133 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$102
$595 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$10
13 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-29 17:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
34% 100% +$0
Politics
30% 75% +$0
Crypto
22% 75% +$0
Tech
7% 100% +$0
Sports
3% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-26 15:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No +5 $5 80¢ $4 -$1 10-29 17:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-14 15:11
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-02 15:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-19 00:31
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-05 17:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-20 20:42
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-05 17:35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-14 14:29
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-09 00:23
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:59
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-30 21:38
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 08-23 17:46