Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
25
Trades
138
lifetime
Volume
$609
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$11
13 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 11-01 05:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
35% 100% +$0
Politics
30% 75% +$0
Crypto
22% 75% +$0
Tech
7% 100% +$0
Sports
3% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +6 $5 93¢ $5 $0 10-26 15:47
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-01 05:58
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-02 15:00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-14 15:11
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-14 14:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-19 00:31
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-05 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-05 17:35
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:59
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-09 00:23
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-30 21:38
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 08-23 17:46
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 08-20 20:42