Zigzag-Cyclone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

230

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

20 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-11 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

68% 7% -$79

Politics

23% 2% -$46

Crypto

5% 12% -$6

Tech

3% 12% -$6

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-22	-$1	9¢	$-2	-$1	04-30 12:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-83	-$1	2¢	$-1	-$1	04-30 12:25
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-125	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	04-30 12:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	-2	-$1	66¢	$-1	$0	05-02 06:47
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-50	-$1	2¢	$-1	-$1	04-30 12:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-5	-$1	18¢	$-1	+$0	04-30 12:24
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-91	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	04-30 12:25
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-111	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	04-30 12:24
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-111	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	04-30 12:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-6	-$1	11¢	$-1	+$0	04-30 12:23
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-71	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	04-30 12:23
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-40	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 06:54
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-111	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:24
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:24
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:25
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-143	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:23
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	-8	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	04-30 12:26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-111	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-29 06:37
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	04-30 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 18c	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	04-22 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27?	2	$5	20	19	+1	No	+$3	04-27 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	2	$4	26	26	+0	No	+$2	05-01 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	2	$4	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	04-28 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:40 UTC	4	$3	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	04-09 14:43
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	2	$3	68	68	+0	No	+$1	04-09 18:38
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	3	$3	26	26	+0	No	-$1	04-29 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-09 18:50
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-02 06:26
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	2	$3	6	5	+0	No	+$1	04-14 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3?	2	$2	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-03 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	2	$2	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-03 12:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$2	25	25	+0	No	-$2	05-02 06:39
highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 40 41f	2	$2	1,045	0	+1,045	No	-$2	04-12 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:50 UTC	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	04-09 18:47
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	2	$2	91	0	+91	No	-$2	04-13 06:57
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 06:48
New pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 06:48
Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$2	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-02 06:44
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-06 09:10
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-30 12:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-02 06:43
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$1	59	59	+0	No	-$1	05-03 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	2	$1	309	309	+0	Yes	-$1	05-10 07:05
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$1	1,220	0	+1,220	Yes	-$1	04-14 06:51
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	2	$1	17	17	+0	No	-$1	05-04 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?	2	$1	111	111	+0	Yes	-$1	05-04 10:44
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1	0	111	-111	open	—	04-29 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 08:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3fbdf2…
05-10 07:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xde8f15…
05-10 07:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58ec71…
05-10 07:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf4b84f…
05-10 07:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf7817a…
05-10 07:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	309	0¢	$0	0x1d6a19…
05-09 09:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x496358…
05-09 09:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	309	0¢	$1	0x011d2c…
05-09 09:47:02	Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xd0b53f…
05-06 09:10:32	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb9f98a…
05-04 10:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?	No	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x8582f1…
05-04 10:44:30	Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xf24f39…
05-04 10:44:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x808373…
05-03 12:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xbbda9d…
05-03 12:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	280	0¢	$1	0x26585d…
05-03 12:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x46c348…
05-03 06:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x93751c…
05-03 06:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xbe2d11…
05-03 06:50:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0xcc8307…
05-03 06:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xf4ae39…
05-02 06:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x8f1884…
05-02 06:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11c896…
05-02 06:48:44	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x526c08…
05-02 06:48:34	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8bf811…
05-02 06:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2954b7…
05-02 06:47:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5b30aa…
05-02 06:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3c2691…
05-02 06:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x841f26…
05-02 06:44:48	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x554f63…
05-02 06:44:28	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xa05c87…
05-02 06:44:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x927433…
05-02 06:43:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x69e24e…
05-02 06:41:10	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x117ce0…
05-02 06:40:32	Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xce42a6…
05-02 06:39:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb22088…
05-02 06:39:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x3acb57…
05-02 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xdaf3d5…
05-02 06:31:02	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc5f60d…
05-02 06:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x55dfa4…
05-02 06:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x5e40b3…
05-02 06:26:24	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x75b144…
05-01 16:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x51dd15…
05-01 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0a584f…
05-01 11:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xfcd23c…
04-30 12:40:44	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa8f172…
04-30 12:40:22	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9df49d…
04-30 12:40:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa67a18…
04-30 12:39:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcf2687…
04-30 12:39:10	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x530492…
04-30 12:39:04	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 90 and 95?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8519d6…
04-30 12:38:54	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16d70b…
04-30 12:38:42	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x53980b…
04-30 12:38:26	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x32fa70…
04-30 12:37:56	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2910e0…
04-30 12:37:46	Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x86dc46…
04-30 12:37:16	Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x121542…
04-30 12:37:10	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae2157…
04-30 12:36:56	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x571415…
04-30 12:36:48	Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x57a52d…
04-30 12:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb709c8…
04-30 12:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x534e6b…
04-30 12:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31564b…
04-30 12:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb025b2…
04-30 12:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9d2081…
04-30 12:26:14	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x6abd5f…
04-30 12:26:00	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x4441a3…
04-30 12:25:46	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfeb266…
04-30 12:25:38	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x16b5ac…
04-30 12:25:26	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc71b16…
04-30 12:25:16	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x65453f…
04-30 12:25:12	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x6cc7f1…
04-30 12:25:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x8b34be…
04-30 12:24:54	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xdb1e74…
04-30 12:24:50	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xcfb531…
04-30 12:24:44	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x2670aa…
04-30 12:24:38	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x264719…
04-30 12:24:34	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xd19724…
04-30 12:24:30	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x263939…
04-30 12:24:26	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x35fdf1…
04-30 12:24:22	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd92f09…
04-30 12:24:16	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7f5570…
04-30 12:24:08	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd2f65d…
04-30 12:24:02	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x186832…
04-30 12:23:54	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x7fbecf…
04-30 12:23:50	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x729b5a…
04-30 12:23:44	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x099a0a…
04-30 12:23:42	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x2a6c27…
04-30 12:23:34	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf808fd…
04-30 12:23:24	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x8f7e2a…
04-30 12:23:18	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xfc8738…
04-30 10:53:54	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xa5211e…
04-30 10:53:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xc6e720…
04-30 06:56:12	Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf65899…
04-30 06:54:30	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x7edf72…
04-29 06:46:14	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc0733a…
04-29 06:41:48	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xdd3725…
04-29 06:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1f231c…
04-29 06:38:06	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xc853c9…
04-29 06:37:08	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7c21ac…
04-28 13:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1c1340…