Realized P&L
+$188
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
270
Trades
1,493
lifetime
Volume
$6.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$168
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 05-21 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
47% 72% +$249
Politics
42% 60% -$34
Crypto
8% 64% -$29
Tech
2% 75% +$9
Sports
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -42 -$32 96¢ $-41 -$9 05-21 08:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -32 -$24 97¢ $-32 -$7 05-21 08:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -26 -$19 90¢ $-23 -$5 05-21 08:19
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -29 -$10 78¢ $-22 -$12 05-08 23:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -21 -$8 96¢ $-21 -$12 05-21 08:23
Ramp IPO before 2027? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 -$1 05-08 23:52
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -15 -$7 55¢ $-8 -$1 05-21 08:23
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -22 -$10 22¢ $-5 +$5 05-21 08:23
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 -$1 05-10 22:55
Rippling IPO before 2027? No -3 -$2 96¢ $-3 $0 05-21 08:23
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 90¢ $-1 $0 05-21 08:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -6 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-21 08:25