Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$97.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

53% 0% $-5,983

Other

29% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	51	$8.5K	5,494	3,200	+2,295	open	—	03-01 20:27
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	82	$5.9K	3,821	3,566	+255	open	—	01-13 06:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	25	$2.7K	2,443	2,866	-423	open	—	02-28 21:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$2.4K	3,737	0	+3,737	Yes	$-2,404	05-08 15:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	11	$2.3K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	01-06 06:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$2.2K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	03-04 20:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$2.0K	936	1,136	-200	open	—	05-29 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.9K	2,051	0	+2,051	Yes	$-1,924	05-02 23:14
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-01 23:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.7K	2,050	0	+2,050	Yes	$-1,655	04-02 02:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$1.7K	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	03-29 13:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	20	$1.6K	1,683	0	+1,683	open	—	03-05 00:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$1.5K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	07-04 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$1.5K	2,127	0	+2,127	open	—	07-23 16:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$1.3K	1,450	0	+1,450	open	—	04-01 16:11
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.3K	0	1,300	-1,300	open	—	06-10 00:12
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	11	$1.3K	1,409	0	+1,409	open	—	01-02 23:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	19	$1.2K	1,600	600	+1,000	open	—	03-06 21:55
will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	4	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-01 17:15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	14	$1.2K	1,618	1,618	+0	open	—	02-28 21:50
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-15 13:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	07-01 13:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	10	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	02-02 14:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-03 20:47
will bitcoin reach 104k december 29 january 4	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-01 15:21
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	9	$997	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-05 23:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	11	$900	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 15:08
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$890	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-01 23:00
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	8	$872	900	0	+900	open	—	02-01 14:53
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$798	0	800	-800	open	—	01-02 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 16:30:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x0b448d…
07-22 10:40:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0xfd2063…
07-22 08:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0xd31a4e…
07-22 07:47:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x125147…
07-21 22:25:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xd7a019…
07-21 21:27:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0xacafe9…
07-21 11:51:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xabe9ad…
07-21 11:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8a7c9a…
07-21 11:12:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xed9297…
07-12 18:37:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0xfbfedb…
07-12 14:40:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	152	67¢	$102	0x0f9a31…
07-07 14:02:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x3cf8e9…
07-07 13:48:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xcfa870…
07-07 13:25:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xb44b70…
07-07 13:25:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xb1b1be…
07-04 22:29:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	76¢	$148	0x15bb42…
07-04 22:29:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	76¢	$156	0x8a7d71…
07-04 19:00:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x21190b…
07-04 14:55:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x06ca87…
07-04 11:24:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	259	78¢	$202	0x7e0aed…
07-04 11:24:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	138	78¢	$108	0xab5889…
07-04 11:08:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb531e0…
07-02 17:52:56	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x2926b8…
07-01 23:56:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x51da67…
07-01 23:16:13	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xac73e7…
07-01 23:15:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	393	91¢	$358	0xeba25f…
07-01 16:43:20	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x2aa1bf…
07-01 16:00:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x420bca…
07-01 14:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x6ec43e…
07-01 14:01:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0xf62734…
07-01 14:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x656e89…
07-01 14:00:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x065f99…
07-01 13:10:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x5a7988…
06-27 07:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2320a1…
06-27 06:48:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xb87e77…
06-27 05:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa89d8f…
06-27 04:08:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x1ed79e…
06-26 23:08:46	Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x8893a8…
06-11 13:38:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x50e5aa…
06-10 17:36:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x56c9bb…
06-10 16:49:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x3dd1fe…
06-10 12:08:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x1a3219…
06-10 00:12:42	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0x2e3d9a…
06-06 04:42:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x26c9ff…
06-04 00:02:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0x339abd…
06-03 21:13:54	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x4387b3…
06-03 20:47:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xef2b81…
06-03 20:03:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x983d77…
06-03 18:42:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x4f6026…
06-02 14:48:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	81	84¢	$68	0xfeb317…
06-02 12:24:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0x68920a…
06-02 12:19:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xad1f79…
05-31 18:48:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x255491…
05-31 18:48:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x0e24e8…
05-31 02:46:11	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xa1eda3…
05-30 13:30:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	174	93¢	$161	0xdb9f85…
05-30 13:30:33	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x684a5e…
05-29 04:55:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0x9fb633…
05-28 11:03:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xccf6ce…
05-28 03:55:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x953d56…
05-27 01:33:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf7751f…
05-23 17:08:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x385c1f…
05-23 08:12:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf889c6…
05-18 12:46:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0xc51cfd…
05-11 23:00:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x45e921…
05-11 23:00:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	132	71¢	$93	0xa44cc7…
05-11 22:59:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	71¢	$48	0x009715…
05-08 15:30:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x7493e1…
05-04 02:44:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xc0f1b2…
05-04 02:31:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	171	97¢	$165	0x60b5d4…
05-04 02:22:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x964d39…
05-04 02:20:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xdf8797…
05-03 15:21:38	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	127	93¢	$118	0xbb109b…
05-03 12:11:32	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x6255fb…
05-03 11:50:12	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x788810…
05-03 08:57:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xd04466…
05-03 08:57:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x075024…
05-03 07:09:06	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x71e6d2…
05-03 07:04:04	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	55	79¢	$43	0x4508e0…
05-03 03:17:06	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	145	79¢	$115	0x6358d8…
05-03 02:18:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xdbfc83…
05-03 00:11:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xf54e9b…
05-02 23:53:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x3f9283…
05-02 23:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3909a2…
05-02 23:50:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x3764ab…
05-02 23:50:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	167	82¢	$137	0x1b2b30…
05-02 23:49:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$169	0x8f0921…
05-02 23:44:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x41c26a…
05-02 23:14:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0xab8af0…
05-02 23:05:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x45b788…
05-02 22:45:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x07645f…
05-02 22:21:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x0fdbc7…
05-02 06:21:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x781b5b…
05-01 13:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	384	94¢	$360	0xc3aaee…
05-01 13:19:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3f1d8d…
05-01 13:13:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x1ad9c4…
05-01 13:11:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0xc7847e…
05-01 13:10:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	299	94¢	$281	0x168eae…
05-01 11:52:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x955dc4…
05-01 11:43:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x30144c…