Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

272

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-13 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

63% 65% -$66

Politics

17% 87% +$24

Crypto

12% 53% -$57

Sports

7% 43% +$5

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-28	-$20	92¢	$-26	-$6	05-02 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 14?	No		+2	$1	80¢	$1	$0	11-13 00:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 18?	5	$131	82	82	+0	No	+$5	07-16 19:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$58	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-26 04:56
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	11	$41	48	46	+2	No	-$1	04-26 04:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$41	29	29	-0	No	+$4	04-29 22:24
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$39	41	40	+1	Yes	+$0	04-26 15:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$34	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-25 22:23
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	6	$32	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-02 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$2	07-12 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	2	$27	17	17	+0	No	$0	07-01 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?	1	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	-$25	07-17 05:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	23	$24	17	17	+0	No	+$3	04-26 04:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$23	13	24	-10	Yes	+$5	05-02 17:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$23	85	85	+0	No	+$4	04-30 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?	2	$21	26	0	+26	Yes	-$21	07-16 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	3	$20	46	0	+46	Yes	-$20	07-30 05:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$20	0	28	-28	open	—	05-02 17:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-02 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on August 1?	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	08-01 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?	2	$18	28	0	+28	No	+$10	06-26 07:45
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	2	$17	19	18	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$3	04-26 21:20
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$17	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	04-29 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C or higher on July 11?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$2	07-09 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 7?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	07-05 09:00
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova	2	$14	16	10	+6	Karolina Pliskova	+$12	04-26 16:33
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$14	9	9	+0	Tomas Etcheverry	+$4	04-26 16:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$14	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	05-01 17:47
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants	3	$11	9	9	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$5	04-25 22:16
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$11	52	3	+49	No	-$6	04-26 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	07-31 03:52
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$11	16	16	+0	Washington Nationals	+$5	04-25 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 14?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x8c90b5…
10-26 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x247d61…
10-25 02:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xebc0a5…
10-23 07:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x64ec75…
10-23 06:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x364494…
09-22 09:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x1f279e…
09-22 06:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9e3b3e…
09-21 06:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x9f8d54…
09-20 08:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x06876d…
09-20 07:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8efdec…
09-20 07:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xaab152…
09-20 04:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xeb9424…
09-19 19:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc2c0e2…
09-19 08:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x100c20…
09-18 18:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4872a9…
09-18 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x222e87…
09-18 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x857a49…
09-17 17:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8a2329…
09-17 08:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x896e36…
09-17 06:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x2bbdb1…
09-17 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x289698…
09-15 14:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x098946…
09-15 00:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xf8657a…
09-15 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xff9618…
09-14 20:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf01b40…
09-14 05:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x94b9ad…
09-14 04:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xc1d8f5…
09-13 08:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbe443b…
09-12 04:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9384aa…
09-12 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2c6ecf…
09-11 13:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4f1f47…
09-11 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2c9118…
09-10 05:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x9946c5…
09-10 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 11?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xeae579…
09-09 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfee673…
09-08 18:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 9?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x30f76c…
09-08 06:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x91e903…
09-08 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8cc3fb…
09-07 18:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 9?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0xb08f57…
09-07 07:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x79a497…
09-07 05:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa21154…
09-07 00:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf3a86a…
09-06 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x93738a…
09-05 21:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x662998…
09-05 05:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x307e63…
09-05 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe557bb…
09-05 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xee1906…
09-04 13:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xe59e9d…
09-04 07:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x709f48…
09-04 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x9351eb…
09-03 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x8c3711…
09-03 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x026a04…
09-02 06:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x892ef6…
09-02 06:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x827295…
09-02 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf20164…
09-01 01:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xafd6f5…
08-31 20:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 2?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x774eee…
08-31 05:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd89f27…
08-31 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x941773…
08-30 21:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 31?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x706e27…
08-30 05:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x113a37…
08-30 03:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xbc9277…
08-29 05:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x3065ff…
08-29 05:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x4e0d5f…
08-29 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 31?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3d1515…
08-29 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe579d3…
08-28 05:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x59d69b…
08-28 04:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x51d747…
08-28 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x4e6364…
08-27 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x92b8ca…
08-26 08:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x96a35a…
08-26 07:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x1af229…
08-26 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf59b1a…
08-25 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x53ad50…
08-25 04:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8cd189…
08-25 01:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc1f702…
08-25 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 26?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xa8b20d…
08-24 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ac584…
08-23 04:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x374171…
08-23 00:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x379a02…
08-22 07:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x318b29…
08-22 05:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa7f1b1…
08-22 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe2e2c9…
08-21 03:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc14f9e…
08-21 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x71272f…
08-20 17:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6b186f…
08-20 09:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x858c8b…
08-19 08:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xad4074…
08-19 06:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3b3846…
08-19 06:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x492f47…
08-19 01:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x8a750e…
08-19 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x38332e…
08-17 20:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf184d4…
08-09 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfbe255…
08-09 05:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf24872…
08-09 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xeaaca8…
08-08 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xbc65fb…
08-07 23:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8fa5e6…
08-07 05:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x5926e0…
08-07 03:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd6aeb0…