Realized P&L
-$486
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
1,704
Trades
7,880
lifetime
Volume
$96.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$631
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
49% 81% +$272
Sports
27% 88% -$138
Politics
21% 69% -$272
Crypto
2% 67% -$75
Tech
1% 64% -$288
Pop-Culture
0% 81% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +200 $193 97¢ $194 +$1 10-26 20:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -233 -$156 82¢ $-191 -$35 04-29 08:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -168 -$115 85¢ $-143 -$28 06-11 17:35
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +62 -$44 84¢ $53 +$96 05-27 18:44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +50 $36 68¢ $34 -$2 10-26 20:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 $0 06-11 16:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -156 -$6 4¢ $-6 +$1 10-26 19:34
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -68 -$4 1¢ $-1 +$3 05-19 14:22