Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
796
lifetime
Volume
$25.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$723
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-09 23:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
29%
Other
25%
Crypto
20%
Tech
19%
Sports
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +565 $459 82¢ $466 +$8 06-09 16:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +207 $62 26¢ $55 $-7 06-07 03:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -45 $-9 62¢ $-28 $-18 06-09 22:18
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -33 $-25 76¢ $-25 $-0 06-09 11:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -31 $-27 72¢ $-22 +$5 06-09 14:20
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-13 90¢ $-18 $-5 05-31 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-9 46¢ $-18 $-9 06-09 20:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -29 $-17 60¢ $-18 $-0 05-30 14:01
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +16 $13 94¢ $15 +$2 06-01 02:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -18 $-15 79¢ $-14 +$1 06-09 22:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -14 $-11 80¢ $-11 $-1 06-09 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-8 68¢ $-5 +$3 06-09 22:58
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 54¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 05:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-4 62¢ $-5 $-1 06-06 03:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No -5 $-7 96¢ $-5 +$2 06-04 00:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $-0 06-07 08:49
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +6 $5 72¢ $4 $-1 06-08 21:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes -6 $5 60¢ $-4 $-9 06-04 08:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 48¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 02:25