Poor-Sea 0x7803dd…359e91
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.15K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,826
lifetime
Volume
$127.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$7.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-22 18:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50% — —
Politics
34% — —
Sports
8% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +7,179 $3,085 38¢ $2.8K $-321 07-22 08:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,070 $1,325 62¢ $1.3K $-52 07-21 20:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,360 $830 58¢ $795 $-34 07-22 18:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +825 $570 68¢ $557 $-14 07-22 13:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,043 $473 42¢ $438 $-35 07-22 19:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -663 $-232 66¢ $-434 $-202 07-07 02:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +554 $451 72¢ $396 $-55 07-22 08:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +296 $229 74¢ $217 $-12 07-20 12:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +418 $330 52¢ $215 $-114 07-22 12:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +350 $98 30¢ $107 +$9 07-22 09:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -129 $-106 74¢ $-96 +$10 07-22 09:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +102 $67 62¢ $63 $-4 07-22 02:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +191 $59 24¢ $45 $-14 06-18 05:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +66 $35 64¢ $43 +$8 07-06 12:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +40 $33 76¢ $31 $-2 07-19 22:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -31 $-57 88¢ $-27 +$31 07-22 09:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -30 $-26 85¢ $-26 +$0 07-22 16:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -29 $-16 66¢ $-19 $-3 07-08 14:05
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-13 92¢ $-18 $-6 05-31 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-14 36¢ $-18 $-4 07-20 09:06
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes -13 $124 58¢ $-8 $-132 07-03 12:41
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -11 $-17 64¢ $-7 +$10 07-05 06:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-14 92¢ $-5 +$10 07-05 12:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $7 88¢ $4 $-3 07-20 22:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 07-22 05:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $-1 07-21 19:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-13 42¢ $-4 +$9 06-25 15:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -15 $-10 22¢ $-3 +$6 06-28 19:19
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -8 $33 38¢ $-3 $-36 07-17 16:55
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -8 $195 36¢ $-3 $-198 07-12 03:38