Poor-Sea 0x7803dd…359e91
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$382
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved
276
Trades
13,207
lifetime
Volume
$687.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$1.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-27 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
48% 28% -$4,841
Politics
45% 34% -$4,304
Sports
5% 53% -$634
Tech
2% 36% -$357
Crypto
1% 25% -$23
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +596 $383 55¢ $325 -$58 10-27 10:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,202 $349 26¢ $306 -$43 10-25 19:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +371 $204 55¢ $202 -$2 10-27 11:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +230 $184 74¢ $169 -$15 10-27 06:42
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$76 92¢ $-91 -$16 09-27 12:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +91 $68 78¢ $71 +$2 10-26 10:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +123 $229 56¢ $69 -$161 10-27 08:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -45 $5 92¢ $-41 -$47 10-10 16:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $38 76¢ $38 $0 10-27 11:35
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +129 $41 30¢ $38 -$2 10-26 20:28
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +50 $39 72¢ $36 -$3 10-27 05:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +25 $21 90¢ $22 +$1 10-26 11:20
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 -$13 95¢ $-19 -$6 05-31 20:50
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +50 $46 34¢ $17 -$29 10-27 05:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -19 -$40 89¢ $-17 +$23 10-26 05:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 10-26 14:43
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +18 $18 88¢ $16 -$3 10-27 02:48
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +17 $23 86¢ $14 -$9 10-24 00:16
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +11 $6 74¢ $8 +$2 10-25 21:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +6 -$12 84¢ $5 +$17 10-27 11:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +11 -$4 46¢ $5 +$9 10-27 11:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 $83 83¢ $-5 -$88 10-27 12:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7 -$4 70¢ $5 +$9 10-26 10:37
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$1 10-26 16:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $0 10-27 01:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-25 11:16
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +5 $25 88¢ $4 -$20 10-27 04:09
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +5 -$21 86¢ $4 +$26 10-27 07:00
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No -5 -$17 85¢ $-4 +$13 10-14 12:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4 -$11 86¢ $3 +$15 10-27 08:36