Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$215
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,986
lifetime
Volume
$72.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$2.18K
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-02 12:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
42%
Other
31%
Sports
14%
Tech
7%
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,808 $653 30¢ $533 $-119 06-30 17:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +548 $444 86¢ $474 +$30 07-01 10:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,018 $463 40¢ $402 $-61 06-30 13:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -658 $-230 46¢ $-306 $-76 07-02 12:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +153 $84 62¢ $94 +$10 07-02 15:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +191 $59 24¢ $47 $-12 06-18 05:46
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -49 $-45 95¢ $-46 $-1 06-25 02:55
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -56 $-46 80¢ $-45 +$2 06-30 20:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +66 $35 58¢ $39 +$4 06-29 10:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -30 $-25 88¢ $-26 $-1 07-01 02:44
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -50 $-34 46¢ $-23 +$11 06-30 02:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-14 42¢ $-21 $-7 06-29 13:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -29 $-16 66¢ $-19 $-3 07-02 02:23
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 $-13 92¢ $-18 $-6 05-31 20:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -21 $-15 84¢ $-17 $-3 07-02 14:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -19 $-18 84¢ $-16 +$2 07-01 16:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +11 $8 82¢ $9 +$1 07-02 14:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-5 84¢ $-7 $-2 07-02 07:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-13 46¢ $-5 +$8 06-25 15:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -6 $-5 76¢ $-5 +$0 06-17 03:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 07-01 08:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-1 06-20 15:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -15 $-10 30¢ $-4 +$5 06-28 19:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-14 88¢ $-4 +$10 07-02 13:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-30 04:14
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -7 $5 62¢ $-4 $-10 06-30 10:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -4 $-7 54¢ $-2 +$5 07-01 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -1 $-0 76¢ $-1 $-1 07-02 00:47