Hearty-Amusement 0x7b30d1…521eee
11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$140
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
125
Trades
316
lifetime
Volume
$8.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 11-01 08:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
46% 48% -$129
Politics
35% 44% +$94
Sports
14% 71% +$164
Tech
5% 55% +$14
Crypto
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +850 $714 84¢ $710 -$4 10-26 18:43
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +400 $380 97¢ $388 +$8 10-20 09:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +280 $272 97¢ $273 +$1 10-21 17:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +200 $187 97¢ $194 +$7 10-20 09:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 10-22 00:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +150 $136 96¢ $144 +$8 10-21 07:52
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$0 10-15 17:45
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$1 10-16 08:27
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $0 10-19 20:35
New pandemic in 2026? No +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$3 09-24 10:23
China coup attempt before 2027? No +80 $77 98¢ $78 +$1 10-22 00:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +80 $73 98¢ $78 +$6 09-24 05:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +80 $77 96¢ $77 +$0 10-23 11:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +80 $74 95¢ $76 +$2 09-03 10:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +80 $70 94¢ $76 +$5 09-05 09:39
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 92¢ $74 +$0 10-20 20:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +70 $61 86¢ $61 $0 10-20 23:36
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 09-03 03:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +50 $48 97¢ $48 +$0 10-20 15:39
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 10-21 14:19
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +40 $38 97¢ $39 +$0 10-19 20:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +40 $21 92¢ $37 +$16 05-11 05:49
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 91¢ $36 +$1 10-20 07:19
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +80 $24 44¢ $35 +$11 10-20 21:43
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -30 -$21 84¢ $-25 -$4 07-25 01:20
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +24 $23 95¢ $23 $0 10-20 15:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +70 $29 28¢ $19 -$10 10-20 19:45
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +50 $14 36¢ $18 +$3 10-20 21:50
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $12 24¢ $12 +$0 10-20 15:40
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +30 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-01 08:31