Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.94K
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved (7d)
34
Trades (7d)
321
5,710 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.2K
$415.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$5.94K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
88% 89% +$8,095
Sports
10% 91% +$563
Politics
2% 36% -$494
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +10,610 $4,678 20¢ $2.1K -$2,609 11-06 13:51
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -1,686 -$1,656 72¢ $-1214 +$443 11-06 15:05
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -941 -$950 97¢ $-910 +$41 10-31 05:17
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -781 -$728 95¢ $-744 -$17 11-02 14:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +491 $240 98¢ $478 +$238 11-04 00:08
Will there be at least 5600 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? Yes +451 $375 95¢ $429 +$54 11-06 15:07
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +458 $179 18¢ $85 -$94 11-06 15:04
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +500 $10 2¢ $11 +$1 11-02 20:55
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? Yes +2 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 11-04 10:27