Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9
lifetime
Volume
$29
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$15
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-16 22:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76%
Other
24%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,667 $5 $6 +$1 05-08 10:24
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +136 $6 $6 $-0 05-15 19:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -52 $-5 $-4 +$1 05-08 10:19
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 05-16 19:27