Flimsy-Hydrolysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,971

lifetime

Volume

$114.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$590

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

80% 57% $-221

Sports

10% 100% +$5

Crypto

7% 50% +$4

Politics

3% 33% +$24

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+270	$219	84¢	$228	+$9	06-20 16:03
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-128	$-104	92¢	$-119	$-15	05-29 18:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+93	$50	82¢	$76	+$25	06-01 20:06
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?	No	+52	$43	63¢	$33	$-10	06-11 11:40
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$26	67¢	$27	+$1	06-05 17:18
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?	No	+30	$22	85¢	$25	+$4	06-19 12:33
Will GBP/USD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?	No	+32	$28	77¢	$25	$-3	06-11 11:44
Will USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026?	No	+29	$20	70¢	$20	+$0	06-11 11:32
Will Feid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+20	$18	97¢	$19	+$1	05-28 00:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+60	$44	30¢	$18	$-26	06-19 01:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	10	$2.3K	2,361	0	+2,361	open	—	04-30 23:17
will usd fall to 1pt7m iranian rials by june 30	16	$1.7K	1,936	91	+1,845	open	—	06-15 22:26
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?	67	$1.6K	2,022	796	+1,226	open	—	04-24 00:36
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	open	—	06-22 20:24
italy nordio reform referendum passes	28	$1.3K	1,348	220	+1,128	open	—	03-23 15:57
Will Opendoor reach $5 in April?	8	$1.2K	2,496	79	+2,417	open	—	04-16 14:09
Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	2	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	06-01 21:40
hood up or down on april 20 2026	3	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	04-20 19:59
sea int rom 2026 04 05 int	5	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	04-05 20:26
meta up or down on april 10 2026	5	$998	750	271	+479	open	—	04-12 22:15
sea int rom 2026 04 05 draw	3	$903	906	0	+906	open	—	04-05 20:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	5	$876	450	450	+0	open	—	05-29 22:27
will tsla reach 405 in july 2026	2	$862	976	0	+976	open	—	07-01 09:15
Will Netflix dip to $70 in April?	3	$859	443	430	+13	open	—	04-29 20:13
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	3	$844	850	0	+850	open	—	04-15 20:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$725	730	0	+730	open	—	05-29 22:28
aapl close above 260 on march 11 2026	2	$708	718	0	+718	open	—	03-11 20:00
meta close above 650 on march 3 2026	5	$695	709	0	+709	open	—	03-03 20:59
will pltr reach 207 in february	7	$662	613	98	+515	open	—	02-25 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	5	$644	329	329	+0	open	—	04-15 16:26
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	5	$601	485	121	+364	open	—	04-15 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$590	313	312	+1	open	—	04-30 13:32
will nvda dip to 184 in february	5	$588	700	50	+650	open	—	02-04 10:42
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 1?	1	$575	581	0	+581	open	—	05-01 20:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	3	$573	682	0	+682	open	—	05-20 22:29
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	3	$558	610	0	+610	open	—	05-31 09:56
will tsla reach 503 in february	5	$557	298	298	+0	open	—	02-25 21:01
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	7	$548	393	196	+196	open	—	06-14 18:51
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	2	$545	550	0	+550	open	—	05-28 08:02
googl up or down on march 25 2026	2	$508	517	0	+517	open	—	03-25 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:36:55	will tsla reach 375 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xbee761…
07-01 10:22:14	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xbb2dd0…
07-01 10:01:19	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	130	78¢	$102	0xbcc610…
07-01 09:26:41	will open reach 6 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xa88985…
07-01 09:15:17	will tsla reach 405 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec25db…
07-01 09:15:02	will tsla reach 405 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	876	98¢	$861	0xfce45d…
07-01 09:08:08	will tsla reach 375 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0x37d1ee…
07-01 01:52:44	will the announcers say fan 10 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154108	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb4279a…
07-01 01:52:13	will the announcers say fan 10 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154108	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x47cf22…
07-01 00:16:08	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x966394…
07-01 00:05:32	will the announcers say impossible during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526257	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x1ed7e4…
06-30 23:25:25	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xbca574…
06-30 22:48:13	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	Yes	BUY	313	100¢	$311	0x49f18b…
06-30 22:16:35	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154105	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa66589…
06-30 21:44:08	will 6 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249343	No	BUY	123	95¢	$117	0xae34b5…
06-30 21:29:19	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	49	72¢	$36	0x0ec3c5…
06-30 20:58:35	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xcf4811…
06-30 20:55:49	will the announcers say assist during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343713	No	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0x5820b5…
06-30 20:34:38	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc966bf…
06-30 19:55:05	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x66f53d…
06-30 19:40:29	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	Yes	BUY	123	14¢	$17	0x50b278…
06-30 19:40:19	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343700	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xb0dc90…
06-30 19:38:11	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xee8014…
06-30 19:37:55	will the announcers say world cup finals during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343704	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xfd96ec…
06-30 19:28:37	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x4e3a45…
06-30 19:12:13	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x5b48de…
06-30 19:11:05	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343721	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xabd6bc…
06-30 19:10:52	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x28b30e…
06-30 19:08:38	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xb3fc31…
06-30 19:08:01	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x859d02…
06-30 19:07:34	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	No	BUY	163	18¢	$29	0xbd85ac…
06-30 19:05:22	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140018	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x260606…
06-30 18:49:52	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x80a4f8…
06-30 17:35:46	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140020	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xb2800d…
06-30 16:52:58	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140037	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xe56df5…
06-30 15:41:20	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140020	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf4d0e6…
06-29 23:12:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x947ddc…
06-29 22:56:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6b06aa…
06-29 22:42:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x759353…
06-29 22:42:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x36eeee…
06-29 22:42:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1b6a7d…
06-29 22:36:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xe10609…
06-29 21:26:35	btc updown 5m 1782768300	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb0bc2b…
06-29 19:42:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xd661bb…
06-29 19:15:02	will christian pulisic score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649596	No	BUY	150	96¢	$143	0x29c59b…
06-28 16:44:17	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x9fd71b…
06-28 13:21:46	f1 austrian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 06 28	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6e56db…
06-27 22:45:43	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x283fab…
06-27 21:28:13	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xf9eb58…
06-27 05:24:07	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523341	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc9860c…
06-27 03:31:08	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	107	4¢	$5	0x66f0e8…
06-27 03:28:50	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xa7e3d4…
06-27 03:28:50	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x29565b…
06-27 03:28:46	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x373eb9…
06-26 20:57:55	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	No	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x4cc42c…
06-26 18:13:02	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xb709ed…
06-26 05:21:59	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914438	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xf8f9f2…
06-26 05:10:56	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914438	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xebdf65…
06-26 02:12:17	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914438	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0de70d…
06-26 01:22:17	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb8a84f…
06-26 01:22:05	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x18ea3a…
06-26 00:28:28	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x1ba418…
06-26 00:21:19	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x68af79…
06-26 00:19:56	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809440	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x739c70…
06-26 00:00:38	will the announcers say crossbar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809455	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x901859…
06-25 22:01:53	will the announcers say crossbar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809455	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0xca8037…
06-25 21:56:08	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859843	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xfd4f9a…
06-25 20:08:31	will the announcers say group 5 times during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859845	No	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x458c6b…
06-25 15:26:08	will the announcers say crossbar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809455	Yes	BUY	85	26¢	$22	0xa263f7…
06-25 15:01:50	will the announcers say captain during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859852	Yes	BUY	92	75¢	$69	0x1334c4…
06-25 12:56:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809461	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x55a008…
06-25 01:24:59	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	187	2¢	$3	0xa072ed…
06-25 00:33:16	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xc91f3e…
06-25 00:31:44	will the announcers say crossbar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809455	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x166d29…
06-25 00:18:47	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809461	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc9b82a…
06-25 00:18:43	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809461	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x52036b…
06-25 00:18:37	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809461	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x8dbb5d…
06-25 00:00:08	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe235d3…
06-24 22:02:47	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221709	No	BUY	188	22¢	$41	0x5aa5f9…
06-24 21:59:14	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947277	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9c84a9…
06-24 21:51:37	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	280	3¢	$7	0xea4c24…
06-24 21:51:19	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415037	No	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0xc989fb…
06-24 21:44:40	will brahim daz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x3cd163…
06-24 21:36:28	will the announcers say golden boot during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947274	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x058afe…
06-24 21:34:20	will the announcers say qatar during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947262	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4bf05f…
06-24 21:34:20	will the announcers say qatar during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947262	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1d3242…
06-24 21:30:47	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809461	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xba4d3f…
06-24 21:30:29	will the announcers say crossbar during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809455	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8352ac…
06-24 21:27:52	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947255	No	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x08329d…
06-24 21:26:04	will brahim daz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xcf386b…
06-24 16:51:25	will brahim daz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x1d125e…
06-24 14:59:32	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xef7f88…
06-24 14:33:43	will open reach 4 50 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	43	80¢	$34	0xc52ba4…
06-24 14:12:01	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x204fcf…
06-24 13:45:47	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x8b580d…
06-24 06:02:41	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0a5920…
06-24 05:28:31	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x91b732…
06-24 03:23:22	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x3205d6…
06-24 03:20:34	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x5e33e6…
06-23 23:41:14	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7423ee…