Realized P&L
+$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.50K
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
63
Trades
661
lifetime
Volume
$228.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$346
Open exposure
$33.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 09-05 07:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
60% 93% +$2,072
Other
34% 87% -$709
Crypto
4% 100% +$44
Sports
2% 100% +$195
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9,420 $8,384 98¢ $9.2K +$862 07-02 08:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,200 $4,924 96¢ $5.0K +$80 09-04 20:48
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +4,391 $3,776 97¢ $4.3K +$494 07-01 19:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,791 $3,347 94¢ $3.5K +$197 09-03 10:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,800 $2,508 86¢ $3.3K +$760 05-04 02:47
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +2,595 $1,765 91¢ $2.4K +$597 05-03 22:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,087 $1,743 97¢ $2.0K +$278 06-15 11:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +968 $791 97¢ $937 +$146 07-26 08:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +878 $755 97¢ $849 +$94 05-04 13:42
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -821 -$796 98¢ $-807 -$11 04-29 12:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $606 82¢ $652 +$46 07-28 21:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $364 94¢ $374 +$10 07-28 22:23
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +332 $305 96¢ $320 +$15 06-02 09:36
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +578 $81 3¢ $16 -$65 07-01 11:58